eCommerce Evolution | 328: The 95-5 Rule: Why Your “Efficient” Marketing is Slowing Killing Your Brand
Are you spending more on ads but getting less in return? You’re not alone. In this eye-opening conversation, Preston Rutherford, co-founder of Chubbies (which achieved a nine-figure exit and continues to see 8 years of consecutive growth), reveals why most modern brands are stuck in what he calls “the performance trap.” Preston breaks down the crucial 95-5 rule—the reality that 95% of your audience isn’t actively shopping at any given time—and explains why optimizing only for immediate conversions is slowly eroding your brand.
He shares the hard-earned lessons from Chubbies’ journey, including their midlife crisis moment when efficiency metrics looked great but the business fundamentals were deteriorating. This isn’t about choosing between brand and performance—it’s about finding the right balance to build sustainable, profitable growth. If you’ve ever wondered whether your marketing is building a moat or just buying clicks, this episode is essential listening.
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Sponsored by OMG Commerce – go to (https://www.omgcommerce.com/contact) and request your FREE strategy session today!
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Chapters:
(00:00) Intro
(04:08) The Journey of Chubbies
(08:49) Navigating Early Success and Marketing Performance
(16:10) Identifying Brand Erosion and Its Consequences
(22:00) 1000 Free Postcards with Post Pilot
(22:58) The 95-5 Rule
(28:53) Balancing Demand Capture and Generation
(32:25) Testing and Incrementality in Marketing
(52:30) Understanding The Brand’s Impact on Revenue
(58:47) Insights from Data Analysis
(1:04:18) Running Media Differently for Brand Building
(1:09:37) Identifying ICP for Marathon Data
(1:12:30) Fast Funding the Way You Need It with Wayflyer
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Connect With Brett:
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thebrettcurry/
- YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@omgcommerce
- Website: https://www.omgcommerce.com/
- Request a Free Strategy Session: https://www.omgcommerce.com/contact
Relevant Links:
- Preston’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/prestonr
- Chubbies Website: https://www.chubbiesshorts.com
- Special Offer | PostPilot (Mention Ecommerce Evolution): https://postpilot.com/
- Special Offer | (Mention Ecommerce Evolution): https://wayflyer.com/
Past guests on eCommerce Evolution include Ezra Firestone, Steve Chou, Drew Sanocki, Jacques Spitzer, Jeremy Horowitz, Ryan Moran, Sean Frank, Andrew Youderian, Ryan McKenzie, Joseph Wilkins, Cody Wittick, Miki Agrawal, Justin Brooke, Nish Samantray, Kurt Elster, John Parkes, Chris Mercer, Rabah Rahil, Bear Handlon, JC Hite, Frederick Vallaeys, Preston Rutherford, Anthony Mink, Bill D’Allessandro, Stephane Colleu, Jeff Oxford, Bryan Porter and more
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It’s not because my ad sucks,
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it’s because it’s speaking
to saying the wrong thing
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to this person. At this time,
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I’m not speaking to this vast majority
of people in the way that they want to be
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spoken to.
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Hey, this episode is brought
to you by OMG Commerce.
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That’s the agency that I get
the privilege of running.
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Do you ever feel like it’s Groundhog Day
when it comes to your marketing where
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every day’s the same, you’re still
relying on the same channels,
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got the same ads you’re leaning
into? Maybe it’s time to diversify,
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maybe it’s time to unlock new
growth. That’s what we specialize in.
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My guess is if you’re like most brands,
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you’re probably leaning heavily into
meta ads and long live meta. We love it,
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but you’re probably missing YouTube ads.
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And my guess is maybe Google
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We’ve helped multiple brands
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even $25,000 a day.
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We helped kani a hair regrowth
product go from zero to $1 million in
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YouTube ad spend in 90 days
while hitting their CAC
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target.
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And we’d love to see if we could do
the same for you. So we’d love to chat,
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talk about what it takes to scale on
YouTube and how ready you are right now.
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So let’s chat and go to omg commerce.com.
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Click the Let’s Talk button and we’d love
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Well, hello and welcome to another edition
of the E-Commerce Evolution podcast.
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I’m your host, Brett
Curry, CEO of OMG Commerce,
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and today we’ve got a return guest.
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This guy is lighting up
LinkedIn on the daily.
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You can hear him on all your favorite
podcasts if you’re into marketing at all
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and you’ve ever tried to determine how
much should I be putting into performance
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versus brand and is any of this
real and how do I measure it,
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then this guy is a beacon
of light in our industry
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and so excited to have him back on
the podcast. But I’ve got the one,
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the only Preston Rutherford co-founder of
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Looking Good Today.
Preston, how’s it going man?
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And thanks for coming back on the pod.
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Yeah, I mean, we were talking
about this a second ago,
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but I think my first go with you is
my first ever podcast appearance.
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So thank you for just getting me going.
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But now I’m excited to be here. This
would be a lot fun, that glowing intro.
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Playing. Yeah, yeah, yeah, you
bet. Playing a very small part in
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your podcast career there. But
yeah, I think it was the first,
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I was watching LinkedIn, I was like,
Hey, wait a minute, this guy’s good.
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And it looks like maybe he’s just
kind starting to post on LinkedIn.
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So I jumped on it like, Hey,
come on the pod. And you did.
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I love it.
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And the rest is history, man.
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But I love what you and
team built with Chub.
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I love how it’s continued to succeed and
I want to talk about that a little bit
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in a minute because it’s such
an important note to make.
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And then I think really the time is right.
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You’ve been talking about this for years.
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The time is right to be thinking
about brand building and performance
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marketing, sustainable, profitable growth.
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It’s just all kind of lining up.
We had the COVID era rock and roll,
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crazy Hair on Fire growth where just
grow growth, spend, spend, spend.
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We’ll figure out profits later to,
oh shoot, we got to make money.
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We’re not making any money
now. Let’s measure everything.
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And so I think we’re coming to
this place where it’s like, okay,
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let’s look at this holistically.
And just so you know,
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I’ve always felt like marketing
has to drive some kind of actions.
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It’s got to drive some.
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If we’re advertising and people
do nothing with that advertising,
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what are we doing? In fact,
you’ll appreciate this.
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My first little consultancy
right out of college,
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I was working with local businesses,
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my tagline was marketing that builds
your brand and your bottom line.
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Love that.
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I was trying to help the local car
dealership and local retail stores.
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It was super fun, but.
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Love.
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That.
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I love how you guys have done this
and that led to a nine figure exit
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with Chub and just your perspective
here is really, really valuable.
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So maybe talk a little bit about the
journey for those that dunno with
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Chubby, how you got to your
current philosophy on marketing,
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and then we’ll talk about Chubby’s success
right now because it’s kind of crazy
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how well it’s doing right now, but
tell us a little bit of the story.
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Sure, sure, sure. Yeah,
absolutely. So I’m a tiny,
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tiny part of the success.
So one of four co-founders
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and we started the business back in 2011.
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We were four or five years out of college,
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just didn’t want to work for other
people more than anything and just we’re
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looking for something to
start and stumbled upon
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the shorter, short, the whole
vibe of let’s just be different.
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It was different from what was in Vogue
at the time from a men’s app peril
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perspective where it was very stuffy
and Abercrombie and Fitch shirts off
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guys standing in front of the store,
spring you with cologne playing horrible.
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I dunno, German house music or whatever.
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And.
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You had to look a certain way, we’re too
cool for you, you can’t hang with us.
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And there’s, thats the opposite
of what we think should exist.
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So that was like a foundational premise.
And then the shorts were just super,
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super long and we all kind grew up
either playing soccer or rugby or we were
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from the south and all of those things.
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You’re used to sort of
shorts actual short.
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And then there was a sort of
aspirational look back to our dads
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on their spring breaks in college when
they were growing up and how awesome they
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look the mustaches and the
shorter and that whole thing.
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So all that kind of came together
and we’re just like, well shoot,
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let’s just try to, we don’t
want to work for other people.
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It’d be fun to work together. Let’s just
try to start something. So I was back.
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In 21. You guys helped.
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Were you writing that trend or do you
feel like you kind of propelled that
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trend? Because there was a time,
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I’m a kid of the nineties and so we were
with my basketball team in high school.
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We were coming off of all the old uniforms
from the seventies days were super
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short.
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Super short.
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Shockingly, almost
obscenely short. Exactly.
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And then it was the Fab five for
missions. Everybody’s going baggy shorts.
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That was the rage. Totally. Now
definitely short, excuse me, the trend.
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Did you guys launch that trend back to
short or did you just ride the wave that
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was already there? What’s
your perspective on that?
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I mean, dude, this is 2011,
so I’m obviously very biased,
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but when we came out with shorter shorts,
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it was absurdly different. Yeah.
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I think guys really propelled
that. I think you did. I think.
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So. Yes, I definitely think so.
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And it’s one of those things that
takes 15 years to really kind of get
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going. It just takes a long time.
But no, we were starkly different,
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and I think that was one of the main
reasons why we were able to stand out
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because there was that latent
demand of people who were,
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it was like sometimes there were
shorter folks who had to cut the
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shorts that they had.
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They had to go to Savers or Goodwill
and they had to find older shorts.
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Or there were folks who generally,
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maybe they had bigger quads or something
like that and they wanted to show ’em
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off.
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Or you had folks who played
sports and just kind of wanted a
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better short that just kind of
fit with what they were used to.
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There were all these sorts of things
where there was latent demand,
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and so there was this niche of
people who were down with it,
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but broadly it was very
frowned upon and viewed as
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stupid and less masculine,
all of this kind of stuff.
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So we just tried to turn the tables
and did all of these things where from
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a brand and positioning perspective
made it seem completely,
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our goal at least was to
make it completely inarguable
that shorts were meant to
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be short, and that if you were
scared to show off your actual legs,
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maybe that was representative of a lack
of confidence or that you’re hiding
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something or that what’s in
those pockets of those shorts. So
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yeah, no, it was very rare at the time.
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It certainly wasn’t a trend
that existed in a big way.
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Totally makes sense. So yeah, I’m going
to credit you guys with that for sure.
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So you say you don’t want to work with
people, you want to work for yourselves,
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you want something that’s not the stuffy
kind of will tell you how to be cool
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type of thing like Abercrombie
and Fitch and stuff like that.
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So you launched the brand
then pick us up from there.
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Sure, yeah.
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So I mean at the beginning it was like
we had no money and the first person that
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we went to work with to actually make
some shorts for us just took our money.
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So it wasn’t a blazing
start I guess I would say.
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But we kind of funded the
early days with pre-sales.
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We were just trying to get emails,
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sign people up or we were doing
straight up in-person sales.
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We’d do events at bars or we
would sell shorts at the park
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very hand-to-hand combat sort of thing
that I think I highly recommend for
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anyone who’s just starting a
brand sell stuff in person,
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but then started to get some early success
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and I think started to grow a little
bit, which was the early goal.
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And it was the time of Facebook ads
were just becoming a thing and you could
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spend a dollar get 10 out or
whatever the exorbitant number was at
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the time, same.
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Numbers.
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And you just start to feel
this godlike power that,
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I mean, you can’t necessarily cure cancer,
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but you can sell shorts on the internet
and put a dollar in and get 10 out
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pretty.
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Print profit profits at will. Yeah,
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it was kind of like the very early
days of Google where you were literally
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getting five and Tencent clicks.
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It’s like you could literally print money
and then those were such unique times
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that great take advantage of that.
It was never going to last forever.
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So that’s kind of.
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Well didn’t, that’s the thing,
we didn’t know that, right?
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I mean it’s hard to know that because
you’re like, why would this stop?
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No, I don’t understand the macro dynamics.
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So we basically got obsessed with
that kind of thing, just like, oh,
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following the trend of what works,
what drives that 10 x ROAS or whatever.
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And so I think we were growing and
I think because we were just so new,
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we were doing the brand building thing,
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we just knew that was the way to
differentiate and we couldn’t spend 30% of
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revenue on marketing,
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so we had to do crazy stuff that was free.
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So that did the brand building
stuff in the early days.
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But then as we started to get more of a
flow and we needed more consistency and
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predictability,
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that’s when we just rotated into
just the pure demand capture.
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There was this latent demand
for fun apparel short kind of
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thing,
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and we were just capturing that so we
didn’t feel the pain because we didn’t
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need to create new demand for our brand,
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for our product until we needed to.
And then that was less fun and that was
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about halfway in. And so we hit a little
bit of a midlife crisis if you’ll,
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but then that’s kind of where we had to
rebuild the business from the ground up
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again, all the credit to the team, all
the credit to the other founders here.
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I’m just a tiny, tiny part. I just
talk about it on the internet,
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but I was generally the one
who was representative of
all of bad decision making
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00:11:38,370 –> 00:11:40,980
and it was the other founders who
were more representative of like, no,
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let’s build this thing for the
long term. Let’s find balance.
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And so then we had to learn what
demand creation, demand capture,
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what that balance looks like, how to
measure it, how to think about it,
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how to allocate that capital. But
ultimately it resulted a great,
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you mentioned all I can share
is a nine figure acquisition,
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but now we’re going on eight years
of top and bottom line growth.
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I’m not in the business anymore,
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but Rainer one of the four co-founders
and exceptional team, great guy,
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great team on an absolutely
crushing it. It’s.
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Awesome. Yeah,
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it really speaks to what you guys
built in the early days and to
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see that sustained growth means
that you got a lot of it right?
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You got product right, you got team,
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you got the approach to brand
building and performance marketing.
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You got that mix. And so I want
to dive in here a little bit.
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00:12:32,410 –> 00:12:34,540
One of the things you talk about a lot
online and that you and I have talked
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about one-to-one is had this
idea of the performance trap and
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brand erosion,
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which I know is kind of the trap you
guys fell into when you thought the 10 to
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00:12:44,440 –> 00:12:47,680
one row as was going to go on
forever and ever, and then it did,
220
00:12:47,680 –> 00:12:50,800
and then you’re like, oh shoot, what
do we do now? How to rebuild things,
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00:12:50,800 –> 00:12:51,820
but talk about that a little bit.
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What is that performance
trap and brand erosion?
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How does a brand know they’re in it?
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And then we’ll talk about
how do you get out of it?
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00:12:59,500 –> 00:13:01,810
Sure. Yeah. I mean I
think it’s that feeling,
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you feel it in your gut
where you’re just like, Hmm,
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this can’t be right.
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00:13:08,530 –> 00:13:13,120
This doesn’t feel like this
is what leads to a long-term
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00:13:13,870 –> 00:13:15,370
generational sort of thing.
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00:13:16,510 –> 00:13:19,300
You kind of look back at
your actions and you’re like,
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am I truly generating building
desirability for my brand
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kind of thing or am I just making all
of these withdrawals without making any
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00:13:27,580 –> 00:13:30,910
deposits? If you want to use a
bank account metaphor analogy,
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but then it shows up in the data too.
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I mean people will cite
a variety of stats.
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00:13:38,110 –> 00:13:41,080
My C is going, my customer
acquisition cost is going up,
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or my CPMs are going up,
or my reach is going down,
238
00:13:44,920 –> 00:13:49,750
cost per a thousand accounts reached
going down or contribution margins
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00:13:49,750 –> 00:13:52,690
going down. I ran a sale this year,
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I ran the same sale last year and the
lift from the sale this year was like
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00:13:58,540 –> 00:14:01,960
50% of what I got last year. So next
year I’m going to have to double the
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00:14:01,960 –> 00:14:05,290
discount. Or the only way
I can scale spend on X, Y,
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00:14:05,290 –> 00:14:09,970
Z channel is if there’s a really strong
offer now and I can’t just talk about my
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product, I’ve got to throw an offer on it.
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00:14:13,540 –> 00:14:17,320
All of these sorts of things where you
just look at the business and you’re
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00:14:17,320 –> 00:14:18,153
like, man,
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00:14:19,240 –> 00:14:23,380
do I feel like I’m in a more defensible
position or do I feel more reliant on
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00:14:23,380 –> 00:14:24,370
the ad platforms?
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00:14:25,030 –> 00:14:29,740
Am I getting as much of my revenue from
people searching for my brand name and
250
00:14:29,740 –> 00:14:34,120
coming to my site and buying as I am
from a click on a buy button on an ad?
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00:14:35,140 –> 00:14:39,580
You start to realize that probably
the answer is no to that, right?
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That part of, let’s call it,
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I don’t want to call it organic
demand or unpaid demand,
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00:14:44,290 –> 00:14:49,270
but just the purchase behaviors
that were driving the mix of that
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over time can start to
get a little bit more over
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00:14:53,870 –> 00:14:58,700
indexed onto the Let’s fight for clicks
and get the click kind of thing. You
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00:14:58,910 –> 00:15:00,140
get into a place where
you’re like, well, shoot,
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my ROAS is like whatever the number is,
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00:15:06,110 –> 00:15:10,610
and I’ve been able to grow
it, but has my business grown.
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00:15:11,060 –> 00:15:15,470
You start to see those disconnect between
these metrics that we use to evaluate
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00:15:15,920 –> 00:15:19,130
how we spend our money
and the actual business.
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00:15:19,640 –> 00:15:23,240
And you start to get into these perverse
incentive situations where you’re like,
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okay,
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00:15:24,170 –> 00:15:28,640
I’ve got to be at a marketing efficiency
ratio of a five or something like that.
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00:15:28,640 –> 00:15:31,580
Great. And then I need to maximize
realize within that context. Great,
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00:15:33,470 –> 00:15:38,420
and I need to get a blended five
on that. So you’re like, okay,
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00:15:38,480 –> 00:15:43,370
well I could just remove
some audience exclusions and
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that will help me get a
little bit of a higher,
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00:15:45,590 –> 00:15:48,320
realize I could retarget
a little bit more.
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00:15:48,620 –> 00:15:50,150
I could spend a little bit
more on brand key with,
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00:15:50,570 –> 00:15:53,030
you can do all these things
where you’re just like, well no,
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00:15:53,030 –> 00:15:55,430
we need to capture that demand. We need
to make sure we’re defending our brand.
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00:15:55,730 –> 00:15:59,300
We need to make sure we’re
doing X, y, z, blah, blah, blah.
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00:15:59,720 –> 00:16:01,550
The meta algorithm will
handle it or whatever.
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00:16:02,450 –> 00:16:05,390
And we can get into these slippery
slopes where it’s like, huh,
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00:16:06,080 –> 00:16:09,290
but maybe I’m just claiming credit for
a lot of transactions that would’ve
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00:16:09,290 –> 00:16:13,070
already happened. So anyways, there’s
this whole cycle where it’s like, okay,
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00:16:13,490 –> 00:16:15,710
well we’re spending more to get less.
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I’m discounting more now.
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00:16:18,620 –> 00:16:23,000
I’m more and more competing on
the level of features and price
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00:16:23,390 –> 00:16:26,270
rather than just who I I’m as a brand.
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00:16:27,110 –> 00:16:32,000
It ultimately manifests generally in
contribution dollars going down or
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00:16:32,000 –> 00:16:36,050
contribution margin going down just like
the cash flowing through the business.
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00:16:36,320 –> 00:16:37,550
Even if revenue’s going up,
285
00:16:38,240 –> 00:16:41,930
the cash actually dropping
to cover your fixed costs,
286
00:16:42,530 –> 00:16:45,800
you’re not looking as good as you
would generally like it to look.
287
00:16:46,370 –> 00:16:49,910
And if you trend that out two
years, three years, four years,
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00:16:50,120 –> 00:16:51,320
it’s no bueno kind of thing.
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00:16:52,490 –> 00:16:54,440
You see where we’re headed
in the wrong direction.
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00:16:54,440 –> 00:16:58,490
Sometimes as ROAS climbs
or often as ROAS climbs,
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00:16:59,180 –> 00:17:03,830
your overall contribution margin may
be going down and the incremental
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00:17:03,830 –> 00:17:08,720
impact, incremental lift of your marketing
dollars often going down as well,
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00:17:08,720 –> 00:17:12,650
meaning we’re making ourselves feel good
by looking in the ad account and pat
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00:17:12,650 –> 00:17:14,420
ourselves on the back
with great ROAS numbers,
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00:17:14,810 –> 00:17:18,560
but ultimately we’re not driving
new customers at an acceptable cost.
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00:17:18,560 –> 00:17:20,510
We’re not fueling we organic growth,
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00:17:20,510 –> 00:17:23,090
we’re not actually
driving the brand to grow.
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And that is absolutely no bueno.
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00:17:28,120 –> 00:17:32,930
Two points of nuance on that super
quickly, two points of nuance on that.
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00:17:34,670 –> 00:17:37,010
We were mentioning CAC
and customer acquisition.
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I got to hit my new customer count.
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So then one of the things that you do
kind of as a last ditch effort or it just
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00:17:44,480 –> 00:17:45,710
continues and you don’t stop it,
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00:17:45,710 –> 00:17:49,200
but it’s like bring them in with these
big promos, right? You’re like, oh,
305
00:17:49,200 –> 00:17:52,050
I hit my new customer goal
crushed on new customers.
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00:17:52,740 –> 00:17:56,790
And then you look back six months later
and you’re like, wow, that cohort LTV is
307
00:17:59,220 –> 00:18:01,380
horrible and I’m predicting
some of my worst.
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00:18:01,380 –> 00:18:02,910
Customers that I’ve ever had right there.
309
00:18:03,000 –> 00:18:07,890
Yeah. I’m predicting I’m requiring so
much revenue from that cohort to just
310
00:18:08,370 –> 00:18:13,170
float my business and it’s not
manifesting. That’s doom spiral land.
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00:18:13,320 –> 00:18:17,310
You know what I mean? And so that’s
one other thing where you’re just like,
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00:18:17,340 –> 00:18:18,173
oh wow, okay,
313
00:18:18,210 –> 00:18:23,010
I’m predicting an LTB to CAC and
now that’s not a real number at
314
00:18:23,010 –> 00:18:27,240
all because of how I’ve driven so much
new customer acquisition through just buy
315
00:18:27,240 –> 00:18:31,110
now promo 15 minutes rather
than I freaking love this brand,
316
00:18:31,140 –> 00:18:34,450
I’m going to buy from them. Stepping
nuance number one where it’s like, okay,
317
00:18:34,450 –> 00:18:39,240
it’s not just about hitting your new
customer count goals, it matters,
318
00:18:39,900 –> 00:18:41,100
but it’s like how we get them in.
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00:18:41,190 –> 00:18:45,120
Number two is maybe more
of a subjective thing where
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00:18:45,960 –> 00:18:49,230
I kind of think about it
as being the wacky, wavy,
321
00:18:49,230 –> 00:18:53,280
inflatable tube man kind of blow up
mascot at used car dealerships where it’s
322
00:18:54,450 –> 00:18:59,310
That kind of being the typical or
even the sleazy used card sales person
323
00:18:59,310 –> 00:19:02,550
where it’s just like, okay, we’re
going to use all the tactics.
324
00:19:03,510 –> 00:19:05,520
That’s the whole idea. You look at,
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00:19:05,820 –> 00:19:10,260
if I’m just going to be putting out 10
million impressions of those 10 million
326
00:19:10,260 –> 00:19:11,093
impressions,
327
00:19:11,310 –> 00:19:15,210
how many of those impressions are with
creative that is like fricking buy right
328
00:19:15,210 –> 00:19:18,600
now. Here’s a problem you
have. Here’s my solution,
329
00:19:18,600 –> 00:19:23,280
here are the top features and here’s
50% off if you buy right now versus
330
00:19:24,240 –> 00:19:27,450
I’m just going to make you laugh and it’s
going to tie back to what I do and who
331
00:19:27,450 –> 00:19:30,450
I’m, but that builds the brand,
that builds the desirability,
332
00:19:30,450 –> 00:19:32,940
that preps the 95% that I know
we’re going to talk about.
333
00:19:33,630 –> 00:19:36,810
You pick your head up as a founder,
as a marketer, as a whoever,
334
00:19:36,810 –> 00:19:41,280
and you’re like, I don’t like how
this mix has shifted. I don’t really,
335
00:19:41,550 –> 00:19:45,600
is this how I’m presenting myself
to the world? You know what I mean?
336
00:19:46,200 –> 00:19:49,590
And that is one of those humbling
things where you’re just like, oh crap.
337
00:19:50,250 –> 00:19:55,140
Regardless of what any metric says,
that just is not right. You know what I.
338
00:19:55,140 –> 00:19:56,180
Mean? If.
339
00:19:56,670 –> 00:20:00,840
All we are at the end of the day is a
feeling that gets someone to take an
340
00:20:00,840 –> 00:20:04,800
action to stop them from buying the
incumbent who’s currently meeting their
341
00:20:04,800 –> 00:20:08,640
needs for what I’m trying to do, that’s
the thing where you’re just like,
342
00:20:10,230 –> 00:20:12,960
I think I got to change. So those
are two nuance on that front.
343
00:20:13,530 –> 00:20:15,360
Yeah, I love that. And
I’ll share a quick story.
344
00:20:15,360 –> 00:20:16,770
When I was right out of college,
345
00:20:17,250 –> 00:20:20,310
I was doing some consulting with local
businesses and met this piano dealer.
346
00:20:20,310 –> 00:20:21,750
Great guy, loved him,
347
00:20:22,230 –> 00:20:26,220
but they found out that the only success
they were really having was these going
348
00:20:26,220 –> 00:20:27,150
out of business sales.
349
00:20:27,150 –> 00:20:31,950
And so they would sign up to
acquire this distressed piano
350
00:20:31,950 –> 00:20:33,810
dealer and then they would
just do a liquidation sale.
351
00:20:34,470 –> 00:20:36,150
And they got so addicted to their,
352
00:20:37,020 –> 00:20:38,400
we just got to go out
of business every month.
353
00:20:40,350 –> 00:20:42,720
They have these distressed
inventory sales every month,
354
00:20:42,720 –> 00:20:45,330
and that’s legitimately what
they did. So they would start,
355
00:20:45,810 –> 00:20:48,970
we’ve got this distressed inventory
from this dealership in Illinois,
356
00:20:48,970 –> 00:20:52,510
it has to go today, and that’s
all they could get to work.
357
00:20:52,510 –> 00:20:56,020
So it’s like we’re going out of business
every month. That’s our strategy.
358
00:20:56,020 –> 00:21:00,580
And that’s an extreme example,
but totally this discount spiral.
359
00:21:00,820 –> 00:21:05,020
That’s what some D two C brands can
get into as well where it’s like,
360
00:21:05,110 –> 00:21:09,820
I can only exist if I give these
deep discounts and dial up the
361
00:21:09,820 –> 00:21:13,630
urgency to 11, then I can make money
otherwise I can’t. And it’s like,
362
00:21:14,170 –> 00:21:16,330
I like this brand building where
you’re still creating desire,
363
00:21:16,330 –> 00:21:18,730
still making people say, I want that.
364
00:21:18,730 –> 00:21:21,400
I want those shorts or I want that look,
365
00:21:21,760 –> 00:21:26,410
but it’s not the same buy now limited
inventory going out of business type of
366
00:21:26,410 –> 00:21:28,180
thing. It’s just a totally
different approach.
367
00:21:28,690 –> 00:21:32,800
Totally. Yeah. I mean we can talk
tactics and positioning all day,
368
00:21:32,800 –> 00:21:35,830
but the going out of sale thing and
only doing that over and over is just
369
00:21:35,830 –> 00:21:36,663
classic.
370
00:21:37,150 –> 00:21:37,360
Yeah,
371
00:21:37,360 –> 00:21:42,280
it’s like the perfect picture
there of the trap we can get into.
372
00:21:42,280 –> 00:21:42,460
For.
373
00:21:42,460 –> 00:21:44,110
Sure. Everyone can imagine the sign.
374
00:21:44,440 –> 00:21:47,680
You can imagine what the ad
looks like on local tv, right?
375
00:21:47,680 –> 00:21:49,030
Because all seen it before.
376
00:21:49,540 –> 00:21:52,300
I kind of joked too. I was like, we need
to start running ads where we’re like,
377
00:21:52,300 –> 00:21:54,220
we’re still going out of business,
378
00:21:54,430 –> 00:21:59,260
it’s just we’re going out
of business again. So yeah,
379
00:21:59,650 –> 00:22:04,090
pretty funny. Today’s episode
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380
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392
00:22:58,090 –> 00:23:01,930
Well, let’s talk about this shift
that you had where you talk about your
393
00:23:01,930 –> 00:23:03,880
95 5 rule,
394
00:23:04,540 –> 00:23:07,840
and I think part of the point that you’ve
been making and I’ve been making for
395
00:23:07,840 –> 00:23:12,820
years is a lot of our businesses
have succeeded off of just capturing
396
00:23:12,820 –> 00:23:15,340
existing demand. Not a bad thing.
397
00:23:15,340 –> 00:23:17,500
We got to have demand capture
and demand generation.
398
00:23:17,500 –> 00:23:20,230
You got to have those balanced
and the right mix and whatnot.
399
00:23:20,950 –> 00:23:23,860
But talk about the 95
5 rule. What is that?
400
00:23:23,890 –> 00:23:26,470
How do you use that to
approach healthy growth?
401
00:23:26,890 –> 00:23:30,580
Yeah, and this is not,
I wish it were mine.
402
00:23:30,820 –> 00:23:33,220
I think it comes from
the Berg Bass Institute,
403
00:23:33,220 –> 00:23:38,020
which I would definitely
look them up and John
404
00:23:38,740 –> 00:23:42,610
and Byron Sharp and the
book, how Brands, all This
405
00:23:44,840 –> 00:23:49,190
availability gets into
some marketingy stuff,
406
00:23:49,190 –> 00:23:51,830
which kind of makes me
gloss over personally,
407
00:23:51,830 –> 00:23:54,020
which is why I try to make this
stuff a little bit more fun.
408
00:23:54,020 –> 00:23:58,370
But the general idea is, and I didn’t
know about this until more recently,
409
00:23:58,370 –> 00:24:03,350
so I felt it felt like a jumble of
pain and anxiety in my soul when I was
410
00:24:03,350 –> 00:24:07,220
actually running the media myself
and in the trenches operating.
411
00:24:07,580 –> 00:24:08,840
But just the general idea that
412
00:24:10,340 –> 00:24:14,720
95% of our audience at any
given time is not actively
413
00:24:15,170 –> 00:24:17,420
shopping for my category.
414
00:24:17,600 –> 00:24:21,920
So what there is two things. One,
415
00:24:21,950 –> 00:24:26,750
if I’m spending 95 or a hundred
percent of my marketing dollars where
416
00:24:26,750 –> 00:24:31,610
the goal or the outcome of
success is I convince you to
417
00:24:31,610 –> 00:24:34,280
purchase, there’s this massive mismatch,
418
00:24:34,520 –> 00:24:37,250
and this is how I think we were
for a long time at Chevy’s,
419
00:24:37,250 –> 00:24:40,220
we were spending 95% of our
dollars going to demand capture,
420
00:24:40,400 –> 00:24:44,120
rational appeal product offer urgency.
I’m going to get you right now.
421
00:24:44,780 –> 00:24:47,630
And a better ad is just an
ad that is more convincing,
422
00:24:49,700 –> 00:24:53,120
but we were only hitting that five ish
percent of people, the vast minority,
423
00:24:53,120 –> 00:24:56,390
whether it’s 95, 5 or 85, whatever
the number is, there’s that.
424
00:24:57,230 –> 00:24:58,130
And then the other idea,
425
00:24:58,130 –> 00:25:02,840
it’s simply being the creative
426
00:25:03,110 –> 00:25:07,850
that crushes it for the 5% just
goes in one year and out the
427
00:25:07,850 –> 00:25:11,600
other for the 95%, right?
Not actively shopping.
428
00:25:11,870 –> 00:25:15,290
So it’s kind of like if you’ve heard
of the term reticular activation or
429
00:25:15,300 –> 00:25:15,960
reticular.
430
00:25:15,960 –> 00:25:16,610
Love, it’s like.
431
00:25:16,610 –> 00:25:18,380
Okay, I want a red Ferrari,
432
00:25:18,380 –> 00:25:21,650
so then I see red Ferraris
Freaking everywhere kind of thing.
433
00:25:22,370 –> 00:25:26,240
Where if it’s not that, you just don’t
see it, right? You don’t even see it.
434
00:25:26,240 –> 00:25:30,950
So I’m just like if I’m
only evaluating my creative,
435
00:25:30,950 –> 00:25:34,670
my media, whatever it is by
how I’m capturing that demand,
436
00:25:35,870 –> 00:25:40,820
my job with the 95 is to prep them,
generate a memory, generate a feeling,
437
00:25:40,970 –> 00:25:43,550
get someone to say, I freaking
love that ad when X, Y,
438
00:25:43,550 –> 00:25:45,260
Z happens with that brand.
439
00:25:46,460 –> 00:25:50,990
One of my favorite ads of all time,
that just maybe hit me at a great time.
440
00:25:51,590 –> 00:25:51,860
I don’t know,
441
00:25:51,860 –> 00:25:56,840
it was the classic Dollar Shave Club
ad that YouTube ad was just so epic,
442
00:25:58,400 –> 00:26:00,520
funny, so memorable. You had to
watch it, could talk about it.
443
00:26:00,620 –> 00:26:03,890
It was easy to refer to
watch it multiple times.
444
00:26:04,520 –> 00:26:09,170
And I’d like to think CHS made a bunch
of those as well, and I think we did.
445
00:26:09,200 –> 00:26:11,750
But from another brand
and just going way back,
446
00:26:11,750 –> 00:26:16,340
that was one that just true classic true
classics. First big video ad I think
447
00:26:16,340 –> 00:26:19,970
was fricking awesome. The guys sitting
in the office love their product boss.
448
00:26:20,270 –> 00:26:24,530
It’s just such a memorable scene where
just that captures what we’re all about.
449
00:26:25,100 –> 00:26:27,350
And I remember it and
there’s countless examples,
450
00:26:27,560 –> 00:26:31,910
but I’m just thinking about
more modern brands and that
451
00:26:33,140 –> 00:26:34,280
probably did a really good,
452
00:26:34,280 –> 00:26:36,650
both of those probably did a really
good job at capturing demand, right?
453
00:26:36,650 –> 00:26:39,560
You’re like, that’s freaking awesome
because these are unicorn basic creative,
454
00:26:40,400 –> 00:26:43,890
but it did a much better job at just
prepping all of these people who are,
455
00:26:43,890 –> 00:26:48,090
I don’t need a razor subscription
today kind of thing, but,
456
00:26:50,390 –> 00:26:53,610
or I don’t need a bunch of t-shirts
today because I just bought some crappy
457
00:26:53,610 –> 00:26:57,990
Hanes at Macy’s or whatever.
But I will when my wife says,
458
00:26:57,990 –> 00:26:59,760
you look ugly, and I’m going to think.
459
00:27:00,390 –> 00:27:05,130
So I think those are the things
where if it was just like 20% off
460
00:27:05,130 –> 00:27:07,500
product shot, white
background, buy now, buy now,
461
00:27:09,480 –> 00:27:13,230
that’d be total wasted money. I think
that’s the kind of general idea was that
462
00:27:13,410 –> 00:27:15,420
totally floored me where
it was like, oh my gosh,
463
00:27:16,020 –> 00:27:18,480
it’s not because my ad sucks,
464
00:27:18,870 –> 00:27:23,490
it’s because it’s speaking to
the wrong saying the wrong thing
465
00:27:23,760 –> 00:27:24,870
to this person at this time,
466
00:27:24,870 –> 00:27:29,460
I’m not speaking to this vast majority
of people in the way that they want to be
467
00:27:29,460 –> 00:27:33,390
spoken to. My job there is to
prep to drive that emotion,
468
00:27:33,780 –> 00:27:36,840
whereas with the 5% or whatever
the number is, rational appeal,
469
00:27:36,870 –> 00:27:40,830
be as efficient as possible. You’ve to
your point, you got to balance that.
470
00:27:41,070 –> 00:27:44,220
We call it brand and
monetization, build that brand,
471
00:27:44,580 –> 00:27:46,410
build that mental
availability, build whatever,
472
00:27:46,740 –> 00:27:50,520
but then you got to clear
that funnel the best of them.
473
00:27:50,520 –> 00:27:52,200
And many of us are good at that, right?
474
00:27:52,200 –> 00:27:56,370
The thing we’re not doing is filling
the funnel or building the desirability,
475
00:27:56,370 –> 00:27:58,230
but it’s not,
476
00:27:58,980 –> 00:28:02,700
the whole idea here is just to add
balance because many modern brands,
477
00:28:03,120 –> 00:28:05,040
they’ve gotten out of
balance and it makes sense,
478
00:28:05,040 –> 00:28:08,760
right? Because the data that we now
have access to makes us feel like we’re
479
00:28:09,540 –> 00:28:14,250
media gods and that that’s all
there is and that’s capital T
480
00:28:14,250 –> 00:28:15,083
truth.
481
00:28:15,990 –> 00:28:20,760
But I think everyone kind of learns
when you start to feel this and everyone
482
00:28:20,760 –> 00:28:23,760
feels this and you earn this problem,
483
00:28:24,300 –> 00:28:28,980
this means you’ve gotten to this place
and you’ve stayed in business long enough
484
00:28:28,980 –> 00:28:29,880
to have
485
00:28:32,160 –> 00:28:36,990
is the ceiling for my brand or why am I
spending more to get all of these sorts
486
00:28:36,990 –> 00:28:39,090
of things? So you earn this problem,
it’s a great problem to have,
487
00:28:39,600 –> 00:28:42,660
but it’s just like a classic what got
us here won’t get us there sort of
488
00:28:42,660 –> 00:28:45,810
situation. And it’s like, okay, reset.
489
00:28:46,290 –> 00:28:47,940
What does balance look like for us now?
490
00:28:47,940 –> 00:28:50,280
How do we get to that
next stage of growth?
491
00:28:51,570 –> 00:28:54,330
And I would love to hear
your perspective on this.
492
00:28:54,330 –> 00:28:55,800
I’ve got a couple thoughts myself,
493
00:28:55,800 –> 00:29:00,060
but how do we find that
right mix of demand
494
00:29:00,060 –> 00:29:02,340
capture and demand generation?
495
00:29:02,700 –> 00:29:06,000
I do agree with you that most modern
brands are better at the demand capture
496
00:29:06,000 –> 00:29:10,200
piece, whether that’s through met Google
or likely a combination of the two.
497
00:29:10,800 –> 00:29:15,690
But how do we find that right mix of
demand generation, demand capture?
498
00:29:15,690 –> 00:29:16,710
How do you view that?
499
00:29:18,000 –> 00:29:22,410
Totally. I mean I think what we learned
for the Chu’s example, for instance.
500
00:29:22,890 –> 00:29:23,160
Would say.
501
00:29:23,160 –> 00:29:28,110
We’re at 95 5 in favor of performance,
right? 5% was just the slush fund,
502
00:29:28,200 –> 00:29:28,980
you know what I mean?
503
00:29:28,980 –> 00:29:32,100
That just would get cut if you miss
a number on a month kind of thing.
504
00:29:32,730 –> 00:29:35,610
And I was like, okay, great. Nice to
have. I don’t have any metrics against it,
505
00:29:35,610 –> 00:29:37,560
blah, blah, blah. And then I think
506
00:29:39,150 –> 00:29:43,570
where we evolved over time after
midlife crisis, let’s say two,
507
00:29:43,570 –> 00:29:47,950
three years after that, and
again, buckets are tough.
508
00:29:48,460 –> 00:29:51,490
So to say this is brand and
this is DR and blah, blah, blah.
509
00:29:51,490 –> 00:29:55,690
It’s like a channel tactic, creative
kind of thing. What’s the job to be done?
510
00:29:55,960 –> 00:29:58,510
So we can have that conversation,
but broadly, just to give numbers,
511
00:29:59,350 –> 00:30:03,580
it got close-ish to that 60
40, right? The classic brand,
512
00:30:03,670 –> 00:30:07,270
60% to brand, 40% to activation.
513
00:30:07,810 –> 00:30:11,050
And it’s not just on the paid side
too, right? It’s like we’ve got email.
514
00:30:11,410 –> 00:30:14,590
Email is a freaking awesome way
to capture demand workforce,
515
00:30:15,100 –> 00:30:19,300
and I’m not paying that much for
what we did a lot and SMS too.
516
00:30:19,300 –> 00:30:21,040
So what we did a lot of was like,
517
00:30:21,340 –> 00:30:26,230
let’s also view that as our demand
capture engine as well. And not
518
00:30:26,230 –> 00:30:29,440
only use paid for bottom funnel
demand capture because that can just,
519
00:30:30,280 –> 00:30:31,150
and it’s a math problem,
520
00:30:31,540 –> 00:30:36,430
but what is the cheapest
way to get you to exit my
521
00:30:36,430 –> 00:30:40,990
funnel is kind of part of the way
to think about it. But yeah, man.
522
00:30:41,050 –> 00:30:43,960
And that freaks people out,
right? No one is at 50 50,
523
00:30:43,960 –> 00:30:48,850
no one’s even at 40% to brand. No, I
mean maybe if you’re Clorox or whatever,
524
00:30:49,210 –> 00:30:52,720
but if we’re talking modern
brands that freaks people out,
525
00:30:52,870 –> 00:30:55,300
they think lack of accountability,
lack of measurement,
526
00:30:55,300 –> 00:30:56,560
they think lighting money on fire.
527
00:30:57,130 –> 00:31:01,900
So the easier answer and what I
think is a productive answer is just
528
00:31:01,900 –> 00:31:05,710
more To brand building more to demand.
529
00:31:06,310 –> 00:31:09,490
You’re so far from having
a conversation, we’re like,
530
00:31:09,520 –> 00:31:14,110
is this too much brand building?
Most of us are sub 10%.
531
00:31:15,280 –> 00:31:19,540
So if it’s 10, get to 11.
If it’s 11, get to 12%.
532
00:31:19,720 –> 00:31:23,080
Find a way to inch that up
and just test maniacally.
533
00:31:23,080 –> 00:31:25,330
And you can talk about what
we’re testing and how we measure.
534
00:31:25,900 –> 00:31:27,130
But I think one of the big things is
535
00:31:29,150 –> 00:31:32,710
there’s this humbling
reality that for many brands,
536
00:31:33,580 –> 00:31:37,900
if you just take the 10%
least efficient spend on dr,
537
00:31:39,040 –> 00:31:39,873
well first of all,
538
00:31:40,810 –> 00:31:44,350
you got to do those tests to find
what the 10% least efficient is.
539
00:31:44,530 –> 00:31:48,280
Most brands are just like, no, this
is my bread and butter. It works.
540
00:31:49,030 –> 00:31:53,200
And if you ask them, how well does it
work? If you were to cut spend 10%,
541
00:31:53,200 –> 00:31:56,530
what would happen if you were
to pulse spend up 30% in a week?
542
00:31:56,530 –> 00:31:59,770
What would happen? Would you see 30%
more growth? No, I’ve not done that.
543
00:32:00,370 –> 00:32:04,630
We can’t do those tests. No. Or you
explain it away in a variety of different,
544
00:32:05,050 –> 00:32:09,820
so I think the first part there is let’s
get to a little bit more precision on
545
00:32:09,820 –> 00:32:11,200
the level of incrementality.
546
00:32:12,070 –> 00:32:15,850
If we’re spending 95% on performance
and the thing like the bread and butter,
547
00:32:15,850 –> 00:32:20,770
like our top spending ad sets, let’s
pressure test the hell out of that first.
548
00:32:21,100 –> 00:32:24,970
And that kind of opens up the conversation
because the whole reason why there’s
549
00:32:24,970 –> 00:32:29,200
a debate about the split of brand and
performance is because a fear that you’ll
550
00:32:29,200 –> 00:32:31,030
waste money if you put it towards brand.
551
00:32:31,570 –> 00:32:36,010
But the reality is that
most brands not all,
552
00:32:37,420 –> 00:32:39,410
are already wasting way more money,
553
00:32:40,280 –> 00:32:43,250
not pressure testing their
existing performance spend.
554
00:32:43,310 –> 00:32:47,510
They don’t have a testing framework.
They’re testing, and I love house.
555
00:32:47,540 –> 00:32:48,740
I think they’re the coolest.
556
00:32:48,740 –> 00:32:52,880
I love measured all
incrementality testing is amazing.
557
00:32:52,940 –> 00:32:56,300
However, what I would encourage, and
I’m sure they encourage the same,
558
00:32:56,300 –> 00:33:01,010
is let’s test some of our
bigger closer held assumptions
559
00:33:01,010 –> 00:33:05,360
rather than these little ticky tack
micro optimizations on the margin that
560
00:33:05,360 –> 00:33:08,450
you’re like, oh, was trying nothing.
561
00:33:08,450 –> 00:33:13,220
Is trying a view content
versus an add to cart,
562
00:33:13,400 –> 00:33:16,190
is that going to, sure, maybe
there’s something there,
563
00:33:16,190 –> 00:33:18,530
but what about my bread
and butter kind of thing?
564
00:33:18,830 –> 00:33:22,820
These are the things that I encourage
us to get a better feel for the
565
00:33:22,820 –> 00:33:24,860
incrementality of because
that’s more fundamental.
566
00:33:25,100 –> 00:33:26,840
And that’s where we could basically say,
567
00:33:28,250 –> 00:33:30,980
if I’m spending a hundred
million bucks a year on X, Y, z,
568
00:33:31,280 –> 00:33:35,810
I can free up $15 million because
it’s really not doing anything for me.
569
00:33:35,810 –> 00:33:40,100
Or the marginal contribution dollar
generation on that 15 million is
570
00:33:40,340 –> 00:33:45,170
so low that either I could not spend it
571
00:33:45,320 –> 00:33:47,480
or I could just put it to
demand gen, but nothing,
572
00:33:48,230 –> 00:33:52,550
there would be no downside to that in
my business. I think that’s kind of step
573
00:33:52,580 –> 00:33:55,700
one in a lot of these
situations we’re just like,
574
00:33:55,700 –> 00:34:00,020
let’s get a little bit of humility
around where all of the money’s going to
575
00:34:00,020 –> 00:34:03,170
acknowledge that we’re probably
wasting quite a bit of money there.
576
00:34:03,440 –> 00:34:07,610
So then that takes the conversation
away from the fear being wasting money.
577
00:34:08,030 –> 00:34:10,160
And then it can be a conversation
around different things.
578
00:34:10,730 –> 00:34:15,020
How are we going to build brand? How are
we going to measure it? Yes, I agree.
579
00:34:15,020 –> 00:34:19,700
Having more demand makes sense. So
then what are we going to do about it?
580
00:34:19,700 –> 00:34:23,420
But it’s like let’s make it as
inarguable as possible and less of this,
581
00:34:24,380 –> 00:34:27,890
I know I’m not wasting money on
performance. I’m running a massive,
582
00:34:27,890 –> 00:34:31,850
I’m taking a massive flyer, a massive
risk of wasting money on brand.
583
00:34:32,330 –> 00:34:36,470
That’s a fundamentally flawed
premise that I think we need to get
584
00:34:36,830 –> 00:34:41,750
alignment on first before we then talk
about what the ideal split should be.
585
00:34:42,230 –> 00:34:45,200
So it’s kind of like those
two things, it should be more,
586
00:34:45,830 –> 00:34:49,820
and then we’re already wasting way
more money on our bottom funnel demand
587
00:34:49,820 –> 00:34:50,840
capture kind of stuff.
588
00:34:51,320 –> 00:34:54,830
So let’s acknowledge those things and
then I think we can have productive
589
00:34:54,830 –> 00:34:55,970
conversations going forward.
590
00:34:56,750 –> 00:35:00,800
Yeah, it is really a great point.
And I think that first piece,
591
00:35:00,800 –> 00:35:05,300
we’ve got to key in on whatever
you’re doing now to build your
592
00:35:05,300 –> 00:35:09,200
brand to drive demand rather
than just to capture it.
593
00:35:09,710 –> 00:35:12,620
You got to start testing
doing more of it. And yes,
594
00:35:12,620 –> 00:35:17,270
we would love to get to a point with
our marketing where we’ve got 0% waste,
595
00:35:18,140 –> 00:35:21,650
probably never going to happen. Nope.
And it’s certainly not happening now,
596
00:35:21,680 –> 00:35:25,820
even if you think you’re measuring all
of your marketing the way that you should
597
00:35:25,820 –> 00:35:29,450
be. And so I really do credit
house, I’m glad you brought them up.
598
00:35:29,810 –> 00:35:30,860
I’m a big YouTube guy,
599
00:35:30,860 –> 00:35:35,330
and so they’ve done a lot for us where
this huge YouTube mentality test and
600
00:35:35,330 –> 00:35:39,150
showed that man, you look at
YouTube performance and platform,
601
00:35:39,900 –> 00:35:44,190
the actual incremental impact is probably
almost three and a half times that.
602
00:35:44,910 –> 00:35:47,370
And so really showing, hey,
the way you’re measuring it,
603
00:35:47,370 –> 00:35:50,940
what you should be thinking about
is this driving a creative growth or
604
00:35:50,940 –> 00:35:52,920
incremental growth or growth
I wouldn’t have already had.
605
00:35:53,400 –> 00:35:57,720
And there there’s some challenges there,
but I love the way you frame that.
606
00:35:57,840 –> 00:35:59,970
And I would be curious,
607
00:36:00,210 –> 00:36:05,010
how do you look at maybe some of
those initial tests or initial looks
608
00:36:05,010 –> 00:36:09,630
at how do we understand how
incremental this activity is?
609
00:36:09,630 –> 00:36:11,340
Because there are some tools out there,
610
00:36:11,340 –> 00:36:14,400
some of them are really quite expensive
and house is probably in that bucket for
611
00:36:14,400 –> 00:36:19,080
a lot of brands. How do you start to test
incrementality? What did you guys do?
612
00:36:19,080 –> 00:36:20,070
What do you recommend that people.
613
00:36:20,070 –> 00:36:24,900
Do? Great question. And the thing
about the YouTube findings with House,
614
00:36:25,380 –> 00:36:27,450
what we’re seeing with Marathon,
615
00:36:27,510 –> 00:36:30,900
which is just effectively just trying
to measure the longer term stuff,
616
00:36:32,040 –> 00:36:34,050
is that it’s even more pronounced.
617
00:36:34,260 –> 00:36:38,550
So I think houses helpers understand
the short-term impact of YouTube and a
618
00:36:38,550 –> 00:36:41,490
variety of tactics on
YouTube, which is strong,
619
00:36:42,030 –> 00:36:43,740
stronger than chosen platform.
620
00:36:44,250 –> 00:36:47,940
But then the longer term impact we’re
also seeing is also pretty massive.
621
00:36:47,940 –> 00:36:52,050
So it’s like there’s generally
people are sleeping on YouTube,
622
00:36:52,050 –> 00:36:54,990
I guess is my point, both from the
short and the long-term perspective.
623
00:36:55,080 –> 00:36:58,530
And it backs out to a rational
first principles perspective.
624
00:36:58,530 –> 00:37:01,080
You’re at the end of the day,
625
00:37:01,920 –> 00:37:05,640
seconds of focused
attention is the thing that,
626
00:37:06,480 –> 00:37:10,170
and so that’s why TV has
been a thing for so long.
627
00:37:10,950 –> 00:37:11,783
Like the switching costs.
628
00:37:11,940 –> 00:37:12,820
Really odd, built some of the best,
629
00:37:12,820 –> 00:37:17,370
the most iconic brands were often built
on tv. YouTube is our version of tv.
630
00:37:17,970 –> 00:37:19,380
Exactly. Right. And with YouTube,
631
00:37:19,380 –> 00:37:22,200
I dunno what it’s like 50%
of impressions are on a tv,
632
00:37:22,920 –> 00:37:24,570
I don’t dunno the exact
number, but I think it’s.
633
00:37:24,570 –> 00:37:27,300
Between 50, 60%. Yeah,
it’s growing, growing.
634
00:37:27,690 –> 00:37:32,100
So I don’t know where else you get
those seconds of focused attention
635
00:37:32,160 –> 00:37:36,360
as cleanly and efficiently
and effectively as on YouTube.
636
00:37:36,390 –> 00:37:38,820
So anyways, that’s one note
that I want to mention,
637
00:37:38,820 –> 00:37:41,910
but in terms of how do we start to
think about incrementality testing?
638
00:37:42,000 –> 00:37:46,890
So there’s the poor person A,
639
00:37:47,310 –> 00:37:49,470
let’s call it the duct
tape solution thing.
640
00:37:49,470 –> 00:37:52,740
I was going to say poor man solution,
but let’s call it bubblegum duct tape.
641
00:37:53,130 –> 00:37:55,140
And then there’s like, let’s do it, right?
642
00:37:57,480 –> 00:38:00,750
But then broadly philosophy,
philosophy on measurement,
643
00:38:00,750 –> 00:38:03,210
and obviously I’m biased because I
started the measurement software company,
644
00:38:03,210 –> 00:38:05,400
but this is why,
645
00:38:05,670 –> 00:38:08,760
it’s because I think brands
under invest in measurement,
646
00:38:08,940 –> 00:38:12,360
if we’re going to spend in aggregate,
let’s call it, I dunno what the number is,
647
00:38:12,420 –> 00:38:14,490
1% of our marketing
budgets on measurement,
648
00:38:15,180 –> 00:38:18,270
you just say it like that rather than
thinking about it as a fixed cost and I’ve
649
00:38:18,270 –> 00:38:22,110
got a broad software budget.
And then you’re like, oh, okay,
650
00:38:22,740 –> 00:38:25,410
is that a good no, you think about
it, percentage of marketing spend,
651
00:38:25,560 –> 00:38:29,240
do I think I can get more than a
1% improvement in the results? From
652
00:38:35,530 –> 00:38:37,930
my experience? You’re
wasting way more than that,
653
00:38:37,930 –> 00:38:42,190
not knowing some of these answers.
Totally. So I highly recommend, yes,
654
00:38:42,190 –> 00:38:45,610
use all platform tools, but
then have your MTA tool,
655
00:38:45,610 –> 00:38:48,070
have your incrementality
tool, have your MM tool,
656
00:38:48,520 –> 00:38:50,290
and then while we’re building marathon,
657
00:38:50,590 –> 00:38:54,430
your long-term have precise
performance brand stuff too,
658
00:38:54,430 –> 00:38:58,360
which was a big missing piece is
why we’re trying to take it invest,
659
00:38:58,840 –> 00:39:02,890
don’t short shrift the
measurement stuff. And even,
660
00:39:03,430 –> 00:39:05,920
I know you were on the Marketing
Operators podcast recently,
661
00:39:06,280 –> 00:39:10,240
if you think back on one of their older
episodes was when times were maybe a
662
00:39:10,240 –> 00:39:13,510
little bit tougher and they were talking
about what do we cut and what do we not
663
00:39:13,510 –> 00:39:17,950
cut? And I think Cody from Ridge made
a good point where he was just like,
664
00:39:18,640 –> 00:39:21,940
thing you do not cut is marketing
software. You just don’t cut that, right?
665
00:39:21,940 –> 00:39:24,490
Because that’s marketing
measurement software, sorry,
666
00:39:24,610 –> 00:39:28,420
because that’s the north
star. If you’re flying blind,
667
00:39:28,900 –> 00:39:32,560
our marketing spend is our
biggest cost in this business.
668
00:39:32,950 –> 00:39:37,030
So if it’s not guided by anything
that’s really, really bad,
669
00:39:37,240 –> 00:39:39,190
you can get really upside
down on your economics.
670
00:39:39,430 –> 00:39:40,960
So it’s like a broad philosophical thing.
671
00:39:40,960 –> 00:39:45,850
It’s like whatever you’re investing in
measurement software now invest more and
672
00:39:45,850 –> 00:39:50,170
then obviously use it, prioritize
use of it. You can have
673
00:39:51,940 –> 00:39:55,570
an account with name your tool,
and if you don’t spend time on it,
674
00:39:56,410 –> 00:39:59,890
you’re going to waste money. So
essential something like how,
675
00:40:00,220 –> 00:40:03,220
if you’re wanting to
just try some tests now,
676
00:40:04,870 –> 00:40:09,430
first it’s a mindset shift outside of
I need to use measurement software.
677
00:40:09,430 –> 00:40:11,650
And that’s really important. Or
measurement tools, let’s call it.
678
00:40:12,430 –> 00:40:15,700
If you’re not going to, regardless
of how you’re going to test,
679
00:40:15,700 –> 00:40:19,390
you need to commit to, this is not
going to change my business tonight.
680
00:40:22,090 –> 00:40:23,950
This is an evolution in how we operate.
681
00:40:24,370 –> 00:40:28,870
So let’s think about what each test
for the next 12 months looks like.
682
00:40:28,870 –> 00:40:32,560
Let’s plan it out and let’s commit to it
and let’s allocate enough budget to it.
683
00:40:32,950 –> 00:40:37,810
And let’s just know that
it’s more about information
684
00:40:37,810 –> 00:40:38,643
gathering,
685
00:40:38,800 –> 00:40:43,600
like neutral information gathering
than test if that’s a failure or
686
00:40:43,600 –> 00:40:47,620
not. And that’s a different way to
approach it. So that being number one, but
687
00:40:50,590 –> 00:40:53,170
I would start with some
of our core things.
688
00:40:53,320 –> 00:40:57,940
If you think about an ad set
where you spend your most dollars,
689
00:40:58,180 –> 00:41:02,830
let’s pressure test that. Let’s cut
that 30%, cut that 40% for a week,
690
00:41:03,280 –> 00:41:04,113
see what happens.
691
00:41:04,270 –> 00:41:06,460
Post it up hundred
percent geos if you can,
692
00:41:06,460 –> 00:41:08,710
and measure those geos if
you’re set up to do that.
693
00:41:08,710 –> 00:41:11,980
Yes. So then we can talk about
that. So the pulse up and down,
694
00:41:12,160 –> 00:41:14,290
just do that to everything
and cycle through that.
695
00:41:14,740 –> 00:41:19,660
I mean starting with the
specific strategies that
you’re spending the most on at
696
00:41:19,660 –> 00:41:20,493
any given time.
697
00:41:20,590 –> 00:41:25,390
Because the other thing
is the result from a may
698
00:41:25,390 –> 00:41:29,710
test doesn’t necessarily apply.
699
00:41:30,220 –> 00:41:32,680
Next May might not even apply to December.
700
00:41:32,990 –> 00:41:35,840
These are moment in time tests
kind of thing, which is fine.
701
00:41:36,500 –> 00:41:37,520
That doesn’t make it bad.
702
00:41:37,910 –> 00:41:41,420
It’s just like we tried that two
years ago and it didn’t work,
703
00:41:41,420 –> 00:41:42,950
so we’re not going to try it ever again.
704
00:41:43,700 –> 00:41:46,190
We don’t want that stuff to
happen because things change.
705
00:41:46,190 –> 00:41:49,400
Economics change auctions
change, ad products change,
706
00:41:50,270 –> 00:41:53,990
our brand changes, our creative
changes, but just cycle through,
707
00:41:54,140 –> 00:41:57,290
if I’m going to test and just work down
from the things that I’m spending the
708
00:41:57,290 –> 00:42:01,640
most on, pulse up, pulse down is a great
way to do it. True point on holdouts.
709
00:42:01,910 –> 00:42:02,960
Holdouts are great.
710
00:42:05,330 –> 00:42:09,800
We’ve built the long-term brand
version of it at Marathon House,
711
00:42:09,860 –> 00:42:12,710
measured name your tool.
They’ve got amazing tools.
712
00:42:13,340 –> 00:42:16,940
Some people run them
themselves and that’s okay,
713
00:42:17,720 –> 00:42:22,160
but I caution because you can do it wrong.
714
00:42:22,250 –> 00:42:26,060
And then if you don’t understand the level
of statist complic significance or if
715
00:42:26,060 –> 00:42:29,810
you don’t, all of these, it’s,
it’s a statistical exploration.
716
00:42:30,020 –> 00:42:34,970
It’s less like I tested Texas
and Texas grew faster than rest
717
00:42:34,970 –> 00:42:37,400
of country. It’s like, no,
718
00:42:39,080 –> 00:42:42,350
Because Texas behaves different from
rest of country for a of reasons.
719
00:42:42,350 –> 00:42:43,880
It’s got a different seasonality curve.
720
00:42:44,450 –> 00:42:47,480
You went into that month
with different numbers,
721
00:42:47,900 –> 00:42:51,590
and so it’s like you can very easily
722
00:42:53,840 –> 00:42:57,860
be steered in the wrong way. And
I’ve made this mistake personally,
723
00:42:58,640 –> 00:43:01,760
I would just like, let’s just
Texas, California, New York,
724
00:43:01,820 –> 00:43:04,190
let’s just do it there.
Boom. That’s our test.
725
00:43:04,550 –> 00:43:05,383
I’d say.
726
00:43:07,190 –> 00:43:09,650
I dunno. I dunno if that’s better
than nothing, to be honest.
727
00:43:10,130 –> 00:43:15,050
To the extent you can get
down to a DMA level And do
728
00:43:15,050 –> 00:43:18,830
it in that way or even a zip level, I
think that’s better. But regardless,
729
00:43:19,460 –> 00:43:23,900
you got to spend more and you got to
run it for longer generally. I mean,
730
00:43:23,900 –> 00:43:26,090
I think people want
answers today, tomorrow,
731
00:43:26,090 –> 00:43:27,620
and you want to spend
as little as possible.
732
00:43:30,920 –> 00:43:35,060
And that’s why I think these tools are
clear on how confident are we in these
733
00:43:35,060 –> 00:43:38,900
solutions or what is the variability of
potential outcomes Here I’m showing you
734
00:43:39,380 –> 00:43:43,790
some number, but that’s not
the number. That’s not as,
735
00:43:43,790 –> 00:43:44,780
that’s not the specific,
736
00:43:44,930 –> 00:43:49,670
there’s a range of outcomes and I
would always just caution double
737
00:43:49,670 –> 00:43:53,150
click on what that number is, what the
range of outcomes is, what the error,
738
00:43:56,990 –> 00:44:00,020
are you happy with this outcome? Are we
happy with this outcome kind of thing.
739
00:44:00,020 –> 00:44:04,850
It could be something like that,
especially if we cut the test off earlier,
740
00:44:04,850 –> 00:44:08,330
whatever. So the way you set this up,
741
00:44:08,420 –> 00:44:09,920
the way you run the test,
742
00:44:10,760 –> 00:44:15,620
just counter the short-termism that
we as humans are fully laden with
743
00:44:15,620 –> 00:44:20,120
and know that it’s just a systematic
thing. You got to give it enough time,
744
00:44:20,120 –> 00:44:22,820
you got to run it
correctly. But the pulse up,
745
00:44:22,820 –> 00:44:25,940
pulse down and just understand, okay,
746
00:44:25,940 –> 00:44:29,840
I added a marginal 20%, what did I get?
747
00:44:30,620 –> 00:44:34,410
And do that over and over and over and
over because you’re always going to have
748
00:44:34,800 –> 00:44:35,580
variables.
749
00:44:35,580 –> 00:44:38,070
You’re going to have a good product launch
on the next week and you’re going to
750
00:44:38,070 –> 00:44:39,360
have a bad product launch on next week.
751
00:44:39,570 –> 00:44:40,050
Totally.
752
00:44:40,050 –> 00:44:44,100
Email toss. So that’s why you got
to do it multiple times as well.
753
00:44:44,130 –> 00:44:46,530
It’s not just a one and
done thing. It’s broadly,
754
00:44:46,590 –> 00:44:49,590
I’m committed to learning
this set of things this year.
755
00:44:50,190 –> 00:44:53,760
I’m not going to boil the ocean. Because
you look back and you’re just like,
756
00:44:54,900 –> 00:44:59,310
even if you think about running
a test that maybe is a little bit
757
00:44:59,310 –> 00:45:01,470
longer, you’re like, oh my
God, that’s an eternity.
758
00:45:01,470 –> 00:45:05,970
But then it’s like it takes you
10 to 15 years to get to any
759
00:45:06,360 –> 00:45:09,150
real material scale and profit
generation anyway. So you’re like,
760
00:45:09,480 –> 00:45:13,740
you’re not going to spend a month testing
what could be something that changes
761
00:45:13,740 –> 00:45:17,970
your changes the way you spend
30% of your marketing. Again,
762
00:45:18,330 –> 00:45:22,980
I would’ve felt this exact thing
and I was the one who was like,
763
00:45:23,070 –> 00:45:26,820
no, we can’t test that stuff. Just we
got to go. We got to go. We got to go.
764
00:45:26,820 –> 00:45:30,570
We got to go. So I’m the guilty guy
here. So I’ve felt all of these things,
765
00:45:30,570 –> 00:45:33,000
but those are just some thoughts
as it relates to how to do tests.
766
00:45:33,720 –> 00:45:36,900
Yeah, man, it’s so valuable
and so much to unpack there.
767
00:45:36,900 –> 00:45:39,900
I want to talk a little bit
about your measurement stack,
768
00:45:39,900 –> 00:45:44,670
and then I want to really dive into
what marathon data is measuring,
769
00:45:44,670 –> 00:45:46,740
how that fits into the overall stack.
770
00:45:46,740 –> 00:45:50,250
But I’ll give a quick analogy
here that I think will help.
771
00:45:50,700 –> 00:45:55,320
And you talk about how running one test
is silly. You had to run multiple tests.
772
00:45:55,500 –> 00:45:58,890
So there’s the heart issues in my
family, at least with a few people,
773
00:45:58,890 –> 00:46:00,150
and it’s like I’m diving
into some of this.
774
00:46:00,420 –> 00:46:03,180
And so you can measure your
resting heart rate. In my heart,
775
00:46:03,180 –> 00:46:04,080
resting your heart is really good.
776
00:46:04,560 –> 00:46:08,940
You can then measure heart
variability and how that speaks to the
777
00:46:09,420 –> 00:46:10,050
health of your heart.
778
00:46:10,050 –> 00:46:13,230
You can also then do lipid panels
and see what’s my cholesterol,
779
00:46:13,410 –> 00:46:14,190
but not just cholesterol,
780
00:46:14,190 –> 00:46:18,060
but there’s 20 ways to measure
cholesterol. And then it’s like, well,
781
00:46:18,060 –> 00:46:20,250
I need to measure that
probably three or four,
782
00:46:20,250 –> 00:46:22,410
five times throughout the
year because you measure once,
783
00:46:22,830 –> 00:46:25,080
it could be based on some other
factors. And so then you’re like, well,
784
00:46:25,080 –> 00:46:28,500
maybe I need to do a calcium
check and all of these things,
785
00:46:28,500 –> 00:46:31,650
but if you want to say,
I want be healthier,
786
00:46:31,650 –> 00:46:33,510
or I want to build for the
longterm with my health,
787
00:46:34,200 –> 00:46:36,180
you’re going to have to
measure all of those things,
788
00:46:36,240 –> 00:46:39,780
understand what they’re measuring,
understanding then based on the reading,
789
00:46:39,780 –> 00:46:43,380
what do you do with that? And
then measure on an ongoing basis,
790
00:46:43,470 –> 00:46:45,570
which kind of feels a little bit
overwhelming, but it’s just the way it is.
791
00:46:46,080 –> 00:46:50,010
And I feel like it’s the
same with marketing. We can’t
run one test and be like,
792
00:46:50,010 –> 00:46:53,010
great, we know what to do
forever now with our marketing,
793
00:46:54,180 –> 00:46:58,020
or this is the salvation for our
brand. We have MTA now multi,
794
00:46:58,290 –> 00:47:02,130
multi touch attribution. Everything
is solved. It’s never the case, right?
795
00:47:02,130 –> 00:47:04,020
It’s like we’ve got to stack these things.
796
00:47:04,650 –> 00:47:08,010
We have to understand what they’re
measuring, what that’s telling us,
797
00:47:08,010 –> 00:47:11,580
what we expect, and then what do we
do with it? And so talk about that.
798
00:47:11,760 –> 00:47:15,600
What do you believe is your perfect
marketing measurement stack?
799
00:47:16,050 –> 00:47:18,780
And then let’s go deep on
Marathon data.
800
00:47:19,350 –> 00:47:22,860
For sure, for sure. Yeah.
So I mean, I think broadly,
801
00:47:24,570 –> 00:47:27,780
before you even start talking
about marketing measurement stack,
802
00:47:27,780 –> 00:47:32,470
there’s a bit of these things are true
803
00:47:32,770 –> 00:47:35,710
and you can’t really argue them.
804
00:47:36,460 –> 00:47:39,070
And maybe this applies to the whole
conversation, but where it’s just
805
00:47:41,530 –> 00:47:45,580
most likely if you’re running into a
little bit of this with I’m spending more,
806
00:47:45,580 –> 00:47:47,710
getting less or CACs up or
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
807
00:47:47,830 –> 00:47:52,450
You’ve just reached that stage where
it’s like, maybe we got to change.
808
00:47:54,910 –> 00:47:59,200
I think we tend to jump to like, oh,
it’s like conversion rate optimization,
809
00:47:59,230 –> 00:48:02,200
or I need more creative diversity or blah,
blah, blah, blah, blah. But I’m like,
810
00:48:02,200 –> 00:48:05,170
those are symptoms rather than
the cost. Part of it is like,
811
00:48:05,170 –> 00:48:09,490
let’s get to the cause and
let’s understand that most
812
00:48:09,490 –> 00:48:14,080
likely it’s that we’ve just
eaten through most of the
813
00:48:14,080 –> 00:48:17,440
people who know about us, care
about us or thinking about us.
814
00:48:18,430 –> 00:48:23,380
That’s very rational. And I think
we need alignment on that first.
815
00:48:23,380 –> 00:48:26,470
Great. Now let’s talk about measurement
stack, and that’s more specific,
816
00:48:26,620 –> 00:48:31,060
but I do think that there’s a
nice multi-touch attribution tool.
817
00:48:31,240 –> 00:48:32,073
Awesome.
818
00:48:33,100 –> 00:48:37,930
A lot of people don’t know that
GA has that. It does. It does.
819
00:48:38,560 –> 00:48:43,240
So you can get it in a variety
of different places and then some
820
00:48:43,240 –> 00:48:47,410
kind of experimentation
platform to just test something.
821
00:48:48,040 –> 00:48:50,080
And so we all, I think,
822
00:48:50,080 –> 00:48:55,030
know the great vendors there some
kind of statistical analysis tool like
823
00:48:55,030 –> 00:48:56,200
an mm M of sorts,
824
00:48:56,380 –> 00:49:01,300
an MM where you could just put a lot
of data in and get an understanding
825
00:49:01,300 –> 00:49:05,050
of what’s doing what, and it’s not
susceptible to the cookie apocalypse,
826
00:49:05,050 –> 00:49:08,410
to the iOS 14, to the blah, blah,
blah. It’s just stats, right?
827
00:49:08,950 –> 00:49:11,620
So that’s what I would view as just,
828
00:49:12,250 –> 00:49:15,820
and I think all of the ad platforms
put out papers where they talk about,
829
00:49:16,000 –> 00:49:20,920
that’s the trinity of measurement,
right? It’s MTA, it’s testing,
830
00:49:20,920 –> 00:49:23,950
it’s MM, M, all of that
together, you triangulate.
831
00:49:25,180 –> 00:49:27,130
And then in my strong opinion,
832
00:49:27,130 –> 00:49:30,490
we need to understand how we’re building
the long-term compounding value.
833
00:49:30,850 –> 00:49:34,150
How are we going to over time make sure
we get more and more of our revenue
834
00:49:34,150 –> 00:49:38,620
coming from people searching for our
brand coming direct to our site where it’s
835
00:49:38,620 –> 00:49:42,430
not fighting in that auction all
day, every day to get that click.
836
00:49:43,180 –> 00:49:46,270
And so I think that’s maybe
the segue to marathon,
837
00:49:46,270 –> 00:49:48,970
but definitely all of them.
838
00:49:49,330 –> 00:49:53,410
And I recommend that if
you’re spending, I don’t know,
839
00:49:53,500 –> 00:49:55,810
more than a million bucks a year or
something like that on marketing.
840
00:49:56,020 –> 00:50:00,370
So it’s actively every brand to
have a full measurement stack.
841
00:50:01,990 –> 00:50:02,680
Got to have it.
842
00:50:02,680 –> 00:50:06,700
And I think that that’s one of the flaws
that people are coming to understand is
843
00:50:06,970 –> 00:50:08,800
MTA alone won’t solve it, right?
844
00:50:08,800 –> 00:50:12,400
It’s good to see click data
and clickstream data and
what are people doing after
845
00:50:12,400 –> 00:50:14,230
they see an ad? It gives you some insight,
846
00:50:14,710 –> 00:50:19,300
but you need that m that shows correlation
when spend goes up on TV or YouTube,
847
00:50:19,300 –> 00:50:22,180
what happens to sales if there’s no
correlation, there’s no causation,
848
00:50:23,140 –> 00:50:26,560
but then you got to run experiments to
see, okay, but is there causation? Is it,
849
00:50:27,830 –> 00:50:30,410
is there causation? So all
those things work together.
850
00:50:30,530 –> 00:50:31,130
Yeah.
851
00:50:31,130 –> 00:50:31,550
Let’s.
852
00:50:31,550 –> 00:50:32,420
Talk about, I think
the other thing though,
853
00:50:32,550 –> 00:50:35,090
the one point that I think might be
helpful, and I know we’re short on time,
854
00:50:35,090 –> 00:50:36,260
but I think this might be helpful, is
855
00:50:38,030 –> 00:50:42,470
the MTA or even the
end platforms, we think
856
00:50:44,810 –> 00:50:47,930
they know all of the clicks and
they know all of the purchases,
857
00:50:48,410 –> 00:50:50,000
and that’s deterministic.
858
00:50:51,050 –> 00:50:55,460
Whereas models are probabilistic
and therefore less trustworthy.
859
00:50:55,880 –> 00:51:00,680
The reality is 85% of people are
opting out of tracking on iPhones.
860
00:51:01,220 –> 00:51:02,053
A lot of our.
861
00:51:02,720 –> 00:51:06,380
IPhone users, you hover over
the little I in ads manager,
862
00:51:06,380 –> 00:51:10,130
when you’re looking at data and
it says, this data is modeled.
863
00:51:10,940 –> 00:51:13,700
So even the click based roas,
864
00:51:13,700 –> 00:51:17,000
which we think is the highest we
switched to from seven day click,
865
00:51:17,000 –> 00:51:20,090
one day view down to one day click
because we’re like, we’re accountable.
866
00:51:20,450 –> 00:51:24,230
And then the reality is that the vast
majority of this data is modeled because
867
00:51:24,230 –> 00:51:26,060
there’s so much data loss. So
868
00:51:27,680 –> 00:51:29,840
there are often questions around, okay,
869
00:51:29,840 –> 00:51:32,210
I view what’s in platform
as capital T truth, right?
870
00:51:32,210 –> 00:51:35,330
Because you’ve got all of the
clicks, you know what everyone did.
871
00:51:36,170 –> 00:51:37,370
It’s unfortunately bullshit.
872
00:51:38,090 –> 00:51:42,950
And so I think the more we
realize that the flaw of this,
873
00:51:43,250 –> 00:51:44,420
just from that perspective,
874
00:51:44,420 –> 00:51:48,080
not in terms of all of the other negative
implications that it has on us in
875
00:51:48,080 –> 00:51:52,310
terms of optimizing just for short term
and just getting into this doom spiral,
876
00:51:52,880 –> 00:51:57,530
but of the fact that that data is modeled,
heavily modeled, I dunno how much,
877
00:51:57,530 –> 00:52:01,070
I don’t know the specifics, but just
hover over the little eye in Mads manager,
878
00:52:01,070 –> 00:52:02,840
I’ll tell you. And then look at the data.
879
00:52:03,290 –> 00:52:06,290
The vast majority of people are opting
out of being tracked on their phones,
880
00:52:06,740 –> 00:52:08,330
and I don’t know what the number is,
881
00:52:08,330 –> 00:52:13,250
but 70 to 80% of sessions
are on mobile for many of our
882
00:52:13,250 –> 00:52:16,370
brands, for many of our DC context, I
don’t know what the number is for Amazon,
883
00:52:16,580 –> 00:52:20,990
but it’s like it’s all modeled
and that’s okay. It’s okay.
884
00:52:20,990 –> 00:52:23,450
So let’s not poo poo statistical analysis.
885
00:52:23,450 –> 00:52:28,160
Let’s not poo P all of this stuff that
we tend to poo because all of it’s
886
00:52:28,160 –> 00:52:28,993
modeled.
887
00:52:29,960 –> 00:52:32,000
Great point, great point. Love that.
888
00:52:32,000 –> 00:52:33,770
And it’s only going to
become more and more true.
889
00:52:34,010 –> 00:52:37,520
There’s going to be less and less clarity.
890
00:52:37,520 –> 00:52:39,620
There’s going to be more and more
privacy. That’s kind of part of this,
891
00:52:39,620 –> 00:52:43,550
but we can then still
triangulate and understand, okay,
892
00:52:43,550 –> 00:52:44,600
when we’re doing these things,
893
00:52:44,600 –> 00:52:47,810
it leads to this kind of business
outcome that I’m looking for.
894
00:52:47,810 –> 00:52:52,130
And so walk through the, and I’m fine
on time actually just to clarify that,
895
00:52:52,820 –> 00:52:57,080
but what’s the thesis
behind marathon data?
896
00:52:57,110 –> 00:53:00,830
What problem are you solving? And
talk to us about how that works.
897
00:53:01,430 –> 00:53:03,020
Totally. Well,
898
00:53:03,020 –> 00:53:07,940
it starts with this realization that
brand is important. Brand is the moat.
899
00:53:08,480 –> 00:53:12,950
Brand is the thing that protects our
ability to generate profits over time.
900
00:53:12,950 –> 00:53:14,600
Protects us from competition,
901
00:53:14,600 –> 00:53:18,560
protects us from someone who’s willing
to come in and try to steal my customers
902
00:53:18,560 –> 00:53:20,420
because they can spend
twice as much as I can.
903
00:53:20,420 –> 00:53:25,010
Or some brand from name
your country who just
904
00:53:25,170 –> 00:53:27,930
straight up copies my product and
tries to sell it for half price,
905
00:53:27,930 –> 00:53:30,930
which has happened to I think many of
the listeners of this podcast ourselves
906
00:53:30,930 –> 00:53:33,660
included. What then do we have?
907
00:53:33,690 –> 00:53:37,770
How then do we continue to have people
come to our site and pay twice as much
908
00:53:38,520 –> 00:53:39,990
for our thing, you know what I mean?
909
00:53:41,220 –> 00:53:45,750
Or keep coming to us and
not need to only buy on a
910
00:53:46,350 –> 00:53:48,180
discount or whatever, selling our souls,
911
00:53:48,750 –> 00:53:53,310
that being important and that being
something that tends to happen to every
912
00:53:53,310 –> 00:53:57,810
brand as they reach some level of success.
I don’t know what the annual revenue
913
00:53:57,840 –> 00:54:00,930
is, but this general idea
that brand is important,
914
00:54:00,930 –> 00:54:05,010
brand is ultimately the most important
thing for many of us consumer brands,
915
00:54:05,010 –> 00:54:06,930
unless we have some patent,
916
00:54:07,530 –> 00:54:11,970
some other IP brand ends up
being that IP if we’re just
917
00:54:12,090 –> 00:54:16,530
selling consumer goods.
So, okay, that being said,
918
00:54:16,980 –> 00:54:21,540
it’s been really hard to measure
that so that we can connect
919
00:54:21,900 –> 00:54:25,230
that to actual revenue
growth. Historically,
920
00:54:25,740 –> 00:54:30,120
the way it’s historically been done
is surveys, brand tracker surveys.
921
00:54:30,270 –> 00:54:33,450
Let’s get our brand awareness. Number
two, problems with that, right?
922
00:54:33,810 –> 00:54:37,560
Is that you’ve got this
intermediary metric. First of all,
923
00:54:37,560 –> 00:54:41,730
it took three months to get that
metric. So you’re already like, okay,
924
00:54:41,730 –> 00:54:45,780
what is this? Okay, my brand
awareness went up five points,
925
00:54:46,050 –> 00:54:49,200
but what period of time are we even
looking at? I don’t even remember.
926
00:54:49,530 –> 00:54:52,830
I’m thinking about Black Friday, cyber
Monday, right? So what? There are two,
927
00:54:52,830 –> 00:54:57,480
so whats that are unanswered? What
did I do to get that? And then what’s,
928
00:54:58,020 –> 00:54:59,700
how much more money am I
making because of that?
929
00:54:59,820 –> 00:55:02,700
So we’re intending to kind
of get out of surveys,
930
00:55:02,730 –> 00:55:05,100
focus on actions like
you’re mentioning, right?
931
00:55:05,460 –> 00:55:08,910
Everything I do should drive an
action. Yes, love. So behaviors,
932
00:55:09,420 –> 00:55:11,070
what people do rather
than what people say.
933
00:55:11,520 –> 00:55:14,280
There’s a crap ton of that being
generated every day on the internet.
934
00:55:15,000 –> 00:55:19,440
So use behavior and then solve
the two. So whats that have been?
935
00:55:19,440 –> 00:55:23,430
The pernicious problems with measuring
the impact of brand one is tie it to
936
00:55:24,090 –> 00:55:25,560
action as much as you can.
937
00:55:25,680 –> 00:55:28,680
Not everything, But as much as you
can tie it to actions you’ve taken.
938
00:55:29,010 –> 00:55:32,970
Give yourself a daily number
that is in the form of dollars,
939
00:55:33,000 –> 00:55:34,050
which is solving the second.
940
00:55:34,050 –> 00:55:38,760
So which is like how do I
quantify or predict or look
941
00:55:38,760 –> 00:55:42,900
back and analyze the
incremental revenue impact
942
00:55:42,990 –> 00:55:47,010
of this brand building stuff,
actually make that connection.
943
00:55:47,490 –> 00:55:49,260
And so those are the two things
we’re trying to do with brand.
944
00:55:49,260 –> 00:55:50,700
And so think of us as
945
00:55:53,580 –> 00:55:56,760
all of the things I was talking about
on the short term kind of stuff,
946
00:55:57,510 –> 00:55:59,370
but for long-term.
947
00:56:00,180 –> 00:56:04,800
So our whole focus is not the
clicks, not the short-term purchases,
948
00:56:04,800 –> 00:56:09,450
but what’s happening over the next
six months and how can we think about
949
00:56:09,450 –> 00:56:13,740
building that bank revenue if you’ll
that future revenue that I’m going to be
950
00:56:13,740 –> 00:56:17,100
building into and
realizing. But then also,
951
00:56:17,100 –> 00:56:21,600
how am I driving what we focus on, which
is called resilient baseline revenue.
952
00:56:22,290 –> 00:56:26,470
So even as you look at an mm m readout
for instance, over short-term stuff,
953
00:56:26,950 –> 00:56:30,940
you’ll always get some percentage
of the revenue that wasn’t explained
954
00:56:31,030 –> 00:56:34,930
necessarily by your short-term
tactics. It was the base sales, right?
955
00:56:35,350 –> 00:56:38,470
The sales you would’ve gotten anyways
is kind of another way to talk about it.
956
00:56:38,890 –> 00:56:41,320
The big aha for us was like, yeah,
957
00:56:41,320 –> 00:56:44,140
it’s fun to look at all the
colors in the chart of the MMM,
958
00:56:44,530 –> 00:56:45,880
but what about this base sales?
959
00:56:46,060 –> 00:56:50,110
Wouldn’t it be cool if that was much
larger If the sales I would’ve gotten
960
00:56:50,110 –> 00:56:51,520
anyways was more?
961
00:56:51,970 –> 00:56:56,350
That seems like that’s awesome from
the perspective of resilience and risk
962
00:56:56,350 –> 00:57:01,030
reduction and better
forecasting and less reliance
963
00:57:01,030 –> 00:57:03,820
on third parties that I don’t control.
But these all seem like good things.
964
00:57:03,820 –> 00:57:05,560
Why do I focus on trying to build that?
965
00:57:05,800 –> 00:57:07,630
And we realized there was
nothing out there that does that.
966
00:57:07,630 –> 00:57:10,810
So think of us as how do I
build that resilient base,
967
00:57:11,110 –> 00:57:12,340
however you want to define it, right?
968
00:57:12,340 –> 00:57:17,110
If it’s like revenue from
brand search or if it’s not as
969
00:57:17,110 –> 00:57:18,910
simple, right? You’ve got
to remove all the spikes.
970
00:57:18,910 –> 00:57:21,430
You’ve got to invest for spend and
seasonality and blah, blah, blah, blah.
971
00:57:21,460 –> 00:57:24,220
How do I build that
resilient base of revenue?
972
00:57:24,400 –> 00:57:28,060
How do I drive more people to search
for my brand and buy or just memorize my
973
00:57:28,060 –> 00:57:29,410
fricking URL I’m coming by?
974
00:57:29,530 –> 00:57:32,830
Those are the purchase actions that I
want to drive more of. And that comes from
975
00:57:32,830 –> 00:57:36,820
activating the 95% when they become the 5%
976
00:57:37,630 –> 00:57:40,000
sure they’re going to be more
likely to click on my ads,
977
00:57:40,330 –> 00:57:42,850
which will make my
performance more performant.
978
00:57:43,600 –> 00:57:47,920
But I also want them to just not
have to go through that thing.
979
00:57:48,460 –> 00:57:49,780
Let’s play different games.
980
00:57:50,560 –> 00:57:53,980
Let’s spend our dollars to drive brand
search and revenue from brand search,
981
00:57:54,100 –> 00:57:58,630
that kind of stuff. So anyways,
we’re trying to, for modern brands,
982
00:57:59,230 –> 00:58:03,310
turn this, it’s like
incremental future growth.
983
00:58:03,850 –> 00:58:06,100
Think about it that way. Less
brand brand’s a scary word,
984
00:58:06,340 –> 00:58:09,820
but it’s an important word and you got
to stand by it because brand matters from
985
00:58:09,820 –> 00:58:11,350
a performance marketing mindset mindset.
986
00:58:11,350 –> 00:58:15,520
We’re just trying to turn incremental
future growth beyond what you would
987
00:58:15,520 –> 00:58:19,300
achieve if you were just continuing
to spend in the way you are today.
988
00:58:20,710 –> 00:58:23,020
So brand but into performance,
989
00:58:23,050 –> 00:58:27,910
into a performance marketing workflow
where I get data today on what I
990
00:58:27,910 –> 00:58:32,650
did yesterday so that I can act
and make decisions and basically
991
00:58:32,650 –> 00:58:37,300
run a full funnel ad account basically
across YouTube and meta TikTok,
992
00:58:37,450 –> 00:58:38,283
whatever.
993
00:58:39,430 –> 00:58:43,780
Man, I love that. I 100%
agree brand is moat.
994
00:58:43,810 –> 00:58:46,240
At the end of the day, it’s what you have.
995
00:58:46,240 –> 00:58:50,950
And I think brand shows up in
the ability to charge the right
996
00:58:50,950 –> 00:58:52,660
prices. You can protect your profits.
997
00:58:52,660 –> 00:58:57,340
It’s the ability to continue
to grow and to have people
998
00:58:57,340 –> 00:58:59,950
searching for your brand.
I know Mark Pritchard,
999
00:58:59,950 –> 00:59:04,720
the marketing director at p and g always
says one of the greatest signs that we
1000
00:59:04,720 –> 00:59:09,310
look for knowing that a brand
has traction is brand search
1001
00:59:09,400 –> 00:59:11,800
growing over time. That’s
what we need to measure.
1002
00:59:12,310 –> 00:59:14,080
And I like this idea of resiliency,
1003
00:59:14,230 –> 00:59:19,060
this baseline revenue is that growing
and that’s going to be an indicator of
1004
00:59:19,540 –> 00:59:21,590
am I doing things right?
1005
00:59:21,590 –> 00:59:26,030
And I do think there’s this sense that
brand is mushy and it’s fluffy and you
1006
00:59:26,030 –> 00:59:29,270
can’t measure it and it’s
just in the ether or whatever,
1007
00:59:29,270 –> 00:59:32,150
but that’s not really true.
Brand can be measured,
1008
00:59:32,540 –> 00:59:33,800
you just don’t measure it in the same way.
1009
00:59:33,800 –> 00:59:35,480
And you do kind of need
of a collection of tools.
1010
00:59:36,050 –> 00:59:40,040
But I think this piece that you’re
solving of how do we measure the resilient
1011
00:59:40,160 –> 00:59:42,770
growth of our brand shows
up with chubby, right?
1012
00:59:43,190 –> 00:59:44,930
Would you say eight years in a row?
1013
00:59:44,930 –> 00:59:46,970
Like the top bottom line
growth or whatever. Yeah.
1014
00:59:46,970 –> 00:59:50,060
Even in the midst of craziness.
Totally. It’s important.
1015
00:59:50,180 –> 00:59:51,530
It’s important to have
that resilient growth.
1016
00:59:51,530 –> 00:59:54,410
And so I guess maybe as we wrap up here,
1017
00:59:55,070 –> 00:59:56,690
what are some of the insights that pop up?
1018
00:59:56,690 –> 00:59:59,240
Do you have any examples
of with this data,
1019
01:00:00,560 –> 01:00:03,710
these are the insights that pop up and
then what we can do with those insights?
1020
01:00:04,220 –> 01:00:06,740
So some of the data that
has come to the surface,
1021
01:00:06,980 –> 01:00:08,540
it’s actually pretty interesting. So
1022
01:00:10,490 –> 01:00:14,690
the one point though that I would make
is that sometimes people think about, ah,
1023
01:00:14,870 –> 01:00:17,630
it seems too good to be true that
you can measure this brand thing in a
1024
01:00:17,630 –> 01:00:20,230
performance markety ish way
or even measure the impact,
1025
01:00:20,230 –> 01:00:23,390
the revenue impact of the
brand. The reality is that
1026
01:00:25,100 –> 01:00:29,570
p and g or Ford or these massive
1027
01:00:29,570 –> 01:00:30,590
advertisers,
1028
01:00:30,980 –> 01:00:35,390
they’ve worked with firms to
build these custom models,
1029
01:00:35,630 –> 01:00:38,000
they cost millions to
build and to maintain,
1030
01:00:38,000 –> 01:00:40,790
and they take a really long time to get
all the data in, et cetera, et cetera,
1031
01:00:41,090 –> 01:00:45,560
which is why we lowly 50,
a hundred million dollars.
1032
01:00:45,560 –> 01:00:48,800
Brands don’t really do this,
1033
01:00:49,520 –> 01:00:50,990
but they’ve been doing it for a long time.
1034
01:00:51,380 –> 01:00:55,700
But they’ve just been these crazy
complex models that were built by these
1035
01:00:55,700 –> 01:00:58,730
analytics firms and they
took just a really long time,
1036
01:00:58,730 –> 01:01:02,660
but it’s proven methodology. They’ve
been measuring this stuff for forever.
1037
01:01:03,200 –> 01:01:04,033
How else
1038
01:01:05,300 –> 01:01:09,980
for us modern consumer brand builders
to think that all of the traditional
1039
01:01:10,070 –> 01:01:13,580
multi-billion dollar brands have just
gotten there because they’ve been flying
1040
01:01:13,580 –> 01:01:17,300
blind, they’ve had no data. I think
we need a little humility ourselves.
1041
01:01:17,420 –> 01:01:21,770
These are very precise people. Absolutely.
It’s expensive to do it that way.
1042
01:01:21,770 –> 01:01:23,080
So I think the thing that we’re doing in.
1043
01:01:23,080 –> 01:01:24,050
America, not that it’s not measurable,
1044
01:01:24,050 –> 01:01:26,600
it’s just not measurable in the way
we’re used to. And so makes sense.
1045
01:01:26,620 –> 01:01:30,080
Not in the way we’re used to and then
up until I guess what we’re doing is,
1046
01:01:30,680 –> 01:01:32,750
and not a way that we could afford.
1047
01:01:33,800 –> 01:01:34,490
Because.
1048
01:01:34,490 –> 01:01:37,010
It would be very expensive
to build these custom models.
1049
01:01:37,010 –> 01:01:40,520
So part of the thing that we’re
doing is, let’s try to generalize it.
1050
01:01:40,520 –> 01:01:42,650
A lot of the people who built those
super custom models for those big
1051
01:01:42,650 –> 01:01:45,350
advertisers from these analytics
firms are the ones who were like,
1052
01:01:45,650 –> 01:01:48,770
this is how I would do it if I
would democratize this for everyone.
1053
01:01:48,770 –> 01:01:51,500
So when we came together it
was like, oh, this is awesome.
1054
01:01:51,860 –> 01:01:55,580
Let’s figure this out. But some of
the big things that have stood out,
1055
01:01:58,820 –> 01:02:02,360
one of the things we’ve
always knocked on is
1056
01:02:04,010 –> 01:02:08,420
whether or not a follow
or a share is valuable.
1057
01:02:09,290 –> 01:02:10,700
I think we’ve all gone through this.
1058
01:02:11,570 –> 01:02:14,300
Well at least I have this hype
cycle of that’s all that matters.
1059
01:02:14,990 –> 01:02:17,840
It’s the worst thing. There’s
no value. Maybe it does matter.
1060
01:02:19,050 –> 01:02:23,910
So the reality though is somewhere in
the middle there’s some value of someone
1061
01:02:23,910 –> 01:02:27,450
taking an action and that is an
action, it’s a precursor action.
1062
01:02:27,510 –> 01:02:29,100
It’s a non shopping behavior,
1063
01:02:29,640 –> 01:02:33,360
but there is a statistical relationship
between people taking those actions and
1064
01:02:33,360 –> 01:02:35,550
your future revenue. So
if you can find that.
1065
01:02:36,210 –> 01:02:37,950
So I think that’s one of the big things.
1066
01:02:37,950 –> 01:02:41,880
So we think about then spending
our money not to drive a purchase.
1067
01:02:41,880 –> 01:02:46,350
So now I’m talking about
non purchase campaigns,
1068
01:02:46,350 –> 01:02:47,970
which freaks people out
because they’re just like,
1069
01:02:47,970 –> 01:02:52,110
why would I do a subscriber
campaign that is insane?
1070
01:02:54,150 –> 01:02:55,200
Does it have value, blah, blah, blah
1071
01:02:57,990 –> 01:03:02,040
to get IG follows, to get, TikTok
follows to get Facebook follows.
1072
01:03:02,040 –> 01:03:03,750
Can you imagine getting a
Facebook page like that?
1073
01:03:04,530 –> 01:03:09,450
But the reality is that these sorts
of things are opening up additional
1074
01:03:09,450 –> 01:03:12,000
reach, lowering the cost per
a thousand accounts reached,
1075
01:03:12,630 –> 01:03:16,920
reaching different people. Because as
you think about if you’re the ad auction,
1076
01:03:16,920 –> 01:03:17,130
right,
1077
01:03:17,130 –> 01:03:21,030
you’re going to serve media because you’re
going to get the highest bid on this
1078
01:03:21,030 –> 01:03:21,840
set of people.
1079
01:03:21,840 –> 01:03:25,050
It doesn’t make sense to serve media to
these people who haven’t shown all these
1080
01:03:25,050 –> 01:03:28,170
intense signals that they’re in
market. So they’re not going to do it.
1081
01:03:28,500 –> 01:03:31,740
So then when you choose
different objectives, yeah,
1082
01:03:31,800 –> 01:03:35,490
the bid is different because the auction’s
different and you’re reaching all
1083
01:03:35,490 –> 01:03:37,770
these people that you
weren’t otherwise reaching.
1084
01:03:38,580 –> 01:03:43,410
And if you use your best creative
creative that our friend Jacque makes or
1085
01:03:43,620 –> 01:03:46,980
that any of these brands have
made that has earned engagement,
1086
01:03:46,980 –> 01:03:48,030
talks about who they’re what to do,
1087
01:03:48,870 –> 01:03:51,990
you’re doing the brand building thing
in a performance market. You don’t only
1088
01:03:51,990 –> 01:03:55,350
have to do billboards and linear tv,
you can do enough performance market.
1089
01:03:55,980 –> 01:03:58,890
So we’re getting people to take those
actions because that’s a lot of the
1090
01:03:58,890 –> 01:04:00,690
playbook that we used at to do this.
1091
01:04:00,990 –> 01:04:05,940
It was very much like let’s build
our community by distributing
1092
01:04:05,940 –> 01:04:08,580
content that wouldn’t crush
it in a bottom funnel.
1093
01:04:08,580 –> 01:04:12,780
Performance marketing a set
necessarily wouldn’t beat the
1094
01:04:13,230 –> 01:04:16,800
very product offer urgency sort of thing
that you got to do. Not knocking that.
1095
01:04:17,820 –> 01:04:22,740
Totally. So then I think the key
things are run media differently,
1096
01:04:23,310 –> 01:04:27,690
use different objectives and it matters.
It helps, it works kind of thing.
1097
01:04:28,140 –> 01:04:30,210
And if you want to lower CPMs,
you want to reach more people,
1098
01:04:30,330 –> 01:04:31,650
those are the unarguable rules.
1099
01:04:31,650 –> 01:04:36,330
But now we’re helping to provide a
little bit more context on how valuable
1100
01:04:36,510 –> 01:04:38,670
it’s so that you can think
about how much to budget,
1101
01:04:39,150 –> 01:04:42,870
think about what is the split
for me given my cash profile,
1102
01:04:42,930 –> 01:04:46,500
given what I demand from an incremental
role on a 30 day roll basis,
1103
01:04:46,500 –> 01:04:49,620
whatever that might be.
So that’s kind of what we’re finding,
1104
01:04:49,620 –> 01:04:54,030
but finding that YouTube is
super valuable on a long-term
1105
01:04:54,030 –> 01:04:57,360
context, pretty meaningfully.
1106
01:04:58,020 –> 01:05:01,080
But then Facebook as well, I
mean just going out absolutely,
1107
01:05:01,530 –> 01:05:05,280
whether it be post engagement campaigns
or trying to get Facebook page likes,
1108
01:05:05,580 –> 01:05:07,470
yes, that action matters,
1109
01:05:07,470 –> 01:05:09,600
but then it’s also the fact that
you’re just reaching people you weren’t
1110
01:05:09,600 –> 01:05:13,350
otherwise reaching. And then it’s
like, ah, do I have the creative?
1111
01:05:14,160 –> 01:05:17,070
Everyone has more brand building creative,
1112
01:05:17,080 –> 01:05:21,580
whether it’s amazing and fricking
awesome, different conversation,
1113
01:05:21,790 –> 01:05:23,860
but everyone’s got to start
somewhere. You know what I mean?
1114
01:05:23,860 –> 01:05:27,520
And so we’re helping you
to put numbers to your gut,
1115
01:05:27,910 –> 01:05:31,600
whereas that putting this piece of content
in front of what people is just good.
1116
01:05:32,290 –> 01:05:34,030
That’s who we are. That’s
what we do kind of thing.
1117
01:05:34,390 –> 01:05:39,010
Now we’re just validating
that with numbers. But yeah,
1118
01:05:39,040 –> 01:05:43,090
I mean to your point, brand
search not a perfect metric. Yes,
1119
01:05:43,090 –> 01:05:46,450
it’s tied to spend. Yes.
If you spend more on dr,
1120
01:05:46,450 –> 01:05:48,340
you will get more brand
search. That’s not the point.
1121
01:05:48,820 –> 01:05:52,090
The point is that there are other ways
to spend your dollars to more efficiently
1122
01:05:52,090 –> 01:05:55,900
drive brand search And to more efficiently
then get those clicks to your site
1123
01:05:56,050 –> 01:05:59,980
and more efficiently have them be high
converting. That’s more the point.
1124
01:06:00,400 –> 01:06:02,530
What we learned at Chubby’s is like, yeah,
1125
01:06:02,560 –> 01:06:04,690
let’s spend our money to drive
brand search more efficiently.
1126
01:06:05,050 –> 01:06:07,630
That’s what I want to do. That’s
how I want to use the ad platforms.
1127
01:06:09,100 –> 01:06:12,550
That puts me in a different bucket where
I’m leveraging it to meet my needs.
1128
01:06:12,550 –> 01:06:14,560
And so we’re just trying to help brands.
1129
01:06:15,520 –> 01:06:18,760
I don’t want to say see the light because
that’s implying that they’re blind or
1130
01:06:18,970 –> 01:06:21,550
whatever, but just free them up.
1131
01:06:22,240 –> 01:06:22,990
To.
1132
01:06:22,990 –> 01:06:27,940
Do the things that’ll help to truly
drive their business without seeing this
1133
01:06:27,940 –> 01:06:31,090
mythical dip. I think that’s the other
thing is people transition. They’re like,
1134
01:06:31,330 –> 01:06:32,560
oh, I going to go out of business. Well,
1135
01:06:32,560 –> 01:06:36,820
I’m transitioning to reality is absolutely
not, but it matters how you do it.
1136
01:06:37,120 –> 01:06:37,953
It matters how you do it.
1137
01:06:37,960 –> 01:06:39,730
And so we’re trying to help
people through that as well.
1138
01:06:39,730 –> 01:06:41,230
But those are some just quick takeaways.
1139
01:06:42,640 –> 01:06:47,080
That’s so important and putting data
behind your gut and your intuition.
1140
01:06:47,080 –> 01:06:52,030
I trust and believe that if I invest
in marketing in this way with a
1141
01:06:52,030 –> 01:06:55,570
really strong brand message
that compels people,
1142
01:06:55,570 –> 01:06:58,510
but it’s not the buy now save a
hundred percent type of thing.
1143
01:06:58,510 –> 01:07:01,720
It’s like it’s a good brand message.
I believe that’s going to work.
1144
01:07:02,410 –> 01:07:04,960
I’m going to trust it, but I’d
sure like some data to back me up.
1145
01:07:04,960 –> 01:07:08,200
And that’s what you guys have
built and what you’re doing here,
1146
01:07:08,200 –> 01:07:09,340
and it just makes sense.
1147
01:07:09,490 –> 01:07:12,460
We look at this all the time with YouTube
and then there’s been such an influx
1148
01:07:12,460 –> 01:07:16,540
of people coming to MG for us
to help them solve YouTube,
1149
01:07:16,540 –> 01:07:18,250
which we do all the time. But hey,
1150
01:07:18,250 –> 01:07:22,930
if we can reach the right audience
maybe for a five or $8 CPM or a
1151
01:07:22,930 –> 01:07:27,460
$10 CCP M and you’re getting a
30 or $40 CPM somewhere else,
1152
01:07:28,030 –> 01:07:29,590
that’s going to have an impact.
1153
01:07:29,920 –> 01:07:33,130
And if I can drive more branded search,
1154
01:07:33,130 –> 01:07:36,160
which comes to me at 50 cents or whatever,
1155
01:07:36,160 –> 01:07:38,980
that’s going to be better than driving
$7 clicks and some of these other areas.
1156
01:07:39,280 –> 01:07:42,100
And so it’s understanding some
of those things are powerful,
1157
01:07:42,100 –> 01:07:45,310
but now you’re putting some of the
measurement behind it to see the real
1158
01:07:45,310 –> 01:07:46,720
business impact of those things.
1159
01:07:47,380 –> 01:07:51,910
And then just trying to validating
it with straight up well run.
1160
01:07:53,020 –> 01:07:56,680
Do you hold that incrementality studies
so that when you get those results,
1161
01:07:56,680 –> 01:08:00,130
yeah, I mean it trains your
MMM or your statistical model,
1162
01:08:00,520 –> 01:08:05,230
but it also gives you data that you can
take to the CO and CFO and just be like,
1163
01:08:05,890 –> 01:08:07,060
because the tough thing
that always happens,
1164
01:08:07,210 –> 01:08:09,670
and you probably deal with this with
your clients, it’s like, oh crap,
1165
01:08:09,910 –> 01:08:12,910
October soft or September was rough.
1166
01:08:13,330 –> 01:08:13,450
You.
1167
01:08:13,450 –> 01:08:15,710
Got to cut all that stuff,
right? Only bottom funnel.
1168
01:08:16,820 –> 01:08:17,810
And then when you don’t have
1169
01:08:19,820 –> 01:08:24,080
any kind of causal holdout data,
there’s no way for you to say,
1170
01:08:24,080 –> 01:08:26,660
we would be doing worse if we weren’t
doing this brand building stuff.
1171
01:08:26,930 –> 01:08:30,680
There’s no way to say that. But
that’s true Or it’s potentially true.
1172
01:08:31,250 –> 01:08:33,410
And if you’re running these
experiments constantly,
1173
01:08:33,470 –> 01:08:37,280
if you have this culture
of experimentation, you can
actually say that, right?
1174
01:08:37,280 –> 01:08:38,113
Here’s the data.
1175
01:08:38,180 –> 01:08:42,620
Look at these geos doing way worse where
we’re not doing this demand gen stuff
1176
01:08:42,620 –> 01:08:45,770
or I don’t want to say demand
creating net new demand for our brand,
1177
01:08:45,800 –> 01:08:49,460
let’s call it. And so that’s
what we really encourage.
1178
01:08:49,700 –> 01:08:53,840
Anyone who’s doing any kind of stuff
that doesn’t necessarily optimize for
1179
01:08:53,840 –> 01:08:58,040
driving that short-term today
purchase is just run experiments
1180
01:08:59,150 –> 01:09:01,550
so that you can have that
conversation where it’s just like, no,
1181
01:09:02,570 –> 01:09:03,403
this is the whole goal.
1182
01:09:03,650 –> 01:09:07,610
We want to make more money than we would
had we just been sticking to bottom
1183
01:09:07,610 –> 01:09:09,020
funnel demand capture. That’s the goal.
1184
01:09:09,020 –> 01:09:12,470
More profit dollars sustainably
over many, many years.
1185
01:09:13,520 –> 01:09:15,060
We’re all aligned on
that front, right? Yes.
1186
01:09:15,060 –> 01:09:19,550
So if we have some numbers
in this missing fluffy
1187
01:09:19,550 –> 01:09:23,810
piece, that is the compounder,
right? That’s the end of the day.
1188
01:09:24,050 –> 01:09:24,890
It’s the compounder. It’s the compounder.
1189
01:09:25,640 –> 01:09:26,030
Yes.
1190
01:09:26,030 –> 01:09:27,290
The bottom funnel land capture.
1191
01:09:27,350 –> 01:09:31,970
It is the thing that cash
is in on the compounding.
1192
01:09:31,970 –> 01:09:35,090
But if you don’t have a compounding,
right, I mean, then we’re in trouble.
1193
01:09:35,350 –> 01:09:36,290
So we want to solve that.
1194
01:09:36,550 –> 01:09:40,460
In trouble. Man, it’s so good. So good.
I could keep going on this all day.
1195
01:09:40,460 –> 01:09:41,450
I absolutely love this stuff.
1196
01:09:41,450 –> 01:09:45,980
But we do need to wrap up and we’ll have
to do another round in the future and
1197
01:09:45,980 –> 01:09:50,960
hopefully not wait a couple years,
but who is marathon data for?
1198
01:09:51,170 –> 01:09:55,340
What’s your ICP or your ideal client
profile and how can people find out more?
1199
01:09:55,940 –> 01:09:59,780
Sure. So ICP, it’s like,
1200
01:10:00,140 –> 01:10:04,610
let’s call ’em generally
modern consumer brands who
1201
01:10:05,060 –> 01:10:06,620
maybe reached a point
where they’re just like,
1202
01:10:09,080 –> 01:10:14,000
I think part of the reason maybe why we’re
not seeing the results we want to see
1203
01:10:14,000 –> 01:10:17,000
is because maybe we haven’t been
able to invest in this brand stuff,
1204
01:10:17,360 –> 01:10:19,160
or
I know brand is important,
1205
01:10:19,730 –> 01:10:23,360
but I can’t figure out how to
invest in it or measure it.
1206
01:10:23,870 –> 01:10:27,140
So there’s that little bit
of pain or I’m crushing it,
1207
01:10:27,200 –> 01:10:29,330
but I don’t know what I’m doing
that’s helping my pressure.
1208
01:10:30,850 –> 01:10:32,840
What should I be doubling down
on? What should I be cutting?
1209
01:10:32,840 –> 01:10:34,700
Everything’s seemingly working? What’s,
1210
01:10:35,630 –> 01:10:40,610
there’s those things You’re generally
spending a lot of money on meta, Google,
1211
01:10:40,610 –> 01:10:43,700
YouTube, TikTok, you’ve
got active socials,
1212
01:10:44,390 –> 01:10:47,390
you’re trying to expand multichannel,
right? You start a D two C,
1213
01:10:47,450 –> 01:10:50,450
now you’re on Amazon, now you’re
in Walmart or Nordstrom or whoever,
1214
01:10:51,350 –> 01:10:53,390
and you don’t have to
be all of that stuff.
1215
01:10:53,390 –> 01:10:56,810
But those are generally the folks that
we work with may need to be around for
1216
01:10:57,020 –> 01:11:00,620
three, four years to have enough
history. So all that stuff,
1217
01:11:01,040 –> 01:11:02,870
but pretty much any consumer brand.
1218
01:11:04,250 –> 01:11:07,130
Love it. Love it. And then
how can they find out more?
1219
01:11:07,130 –> 01:11:09,410
Where can they get a demo? How can
they dive in? That sort of thing.
1220
01:11:09,500 –> 01:11:10,333
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
1221
01:11:10,460 –> 01:11:14,850
So you can just slide
into my dms on LinkedIn,
1222
01:11:14,850 –> 01:11:18,870
just search Preston Ruther with shorts
in the middle of the first and last name.
1223
01:11:18,870 –> 01:11:23,400
Or you can go to marathon data co com or
1224
01:11:23,400 –> 01:11:27,510
Marathon Taco. Someone told me
that I think is a way better.
1225
01:11:27,840 –> 01:11:32,580
Way to taco marathon taco. That’s
perfect. You’ll never forget that.
1226
01:11:32,670 –> 01:11:34,710
But yeah, hit me up on LinkedIn,
1227
01:11:35,160 –> 01:11:40,080
read some of the stuff that kind of
helps articulate these Yammer rings
1228
01:11:40,410 –> 01:11:41,520
on the internet, but.
1229
01:11:42,090 –> 01:11:42,923
Yeah.
1230
01:11:42,930 –> 01:11:46,350
Yep. Love it, man. Really appreciate
the time. I’ll double down on this.
1231
01:11:46,350 –> 01:11:49,560
You’re still one of the best follows
on LinkedIn out there if you’re in the
1232
01:11:49,560 –> 01:11:54,090
marketing and brand building
and consumer product building.
1233
01:11:54,090 –> 01:11:56,280
And if you’re in marketing, you got
to follow precedent on LinkedIn.
1234
01:11:56,280 –> 01:11:57,540
So just do that.
1235
01:11:58,110 –> 01:12:03,000
Checkout marathon data co.com or
1236
01:12:03,090 –> 01:12:07,980
the taco. I like that even better. And
so Preston, thanks man. Ton of fun.
1237
01:12:08,160 –> 01:12:10,200
Thank you Brett, as always,
and always great to catch up.
1238
01:12:11,070 –> 01:12:14,130
Pleasure dude. Love what you’re
doing and thanks for the opportunity.
1239
01:12:14,130 –> 01:12:15,330
Hope this is helpful for the audience.
1240
01:12:15,900 –> 01:12:18,930
A hundred percent. And as
always, thank you for tuning in.
1241
01:12:19,380 –> 01:12:21,990
We’d love to hear from you. What would
you like to hear more of on the show?
1242
01:12:22,380 –> 01:12:24,930
If you found this episode helpful and
you think it’d be helpful for someone
1243
01:12:24,930 –> 01:12:29,340
else, please share it. And with that,
until next time, thank you for listening.
1244
01:12:29,670 –> 01:12:32,910
This episode is brought to you
by WAY Flyer. You’ve got demand,
1245
01:12:33,180 –> 01:12:35,640
you’ve got ads that are converting
without enough inventory,
1246
01:12:35,640 –> 01:12:40,200
you’re leaving money on the table. And
when your bank doesn’t get D two C,
1247
01:12:40,200 –> 01:12:42,720
they won’t structure
funding the way you need it.
1248
01:12:43,110 –> 01:12:47,430
That’s why thousands of D two
C brands turn to way fast.
1249
01:12:47,700 –> 01:12:52,560
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1250
01:12:52,710 –> 01:12:53,543
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1251
01:12:53,610 –> 01:12:58,350
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1252
01:12:58,350 –> 01:12:59,940
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1253
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